I've got to check the figures but Kris is claiming victory in the first predictions competition and will win a conservativehome.com mug as a result. Please use the comments option below to record your own predictions for tomorrow's second round of voting. Only one post per person please in this thread...
Ed: I think you'll find if you're using least squares method to judge the first round my prediction beats Kris's...
Second round prediction:
DC 91
DD 50
LF 57
DC to romp home against LF in the member's vote.
Posted by: Matt K | 19 October 2005 at 10:40
DC 90
DD 54
LF 54
Posted by: John Hustings | 19 October 2005 at 10:46
DC 97
DD 49
LF 52
Posted by: Tom Greeves | 19 October 2005 at 11:27
Cameron 86
Davis 56
Fox 56
Posted by: Daniel Vince-Archer | 19 October 2005 at 11:47
DC 71
DD 66
LF 61
Posted by: Mark Fulford | 19 October 2005 at 12:53
DC 93
DD 53
LF 52
Posted by: Samuel Coates | 19 October 2005 at 12:54
Ed.
Does not my entry for first round beat Matt K
Posted by: David Spencer | 19 October 2005 at 12:58
DC 87
DD 60
LF 51
Posted by: mack | 19 October 2005 at 13:18
DC - 91
LF - 55
DD - 52
Posted by: John Boy | 19 October 2005 at 14:18
DC 88
DD 52
LF 58
Posted by: | 19 October 2005 at 14:19
Sorry, I didn't have my name on that. My prediction:
DC 88
DD 52
LF 58
Posted by: Deckchair of despair | 19 October 2005 at 14:23
I didn't claim victory, someone else pointed out that i got the Davis vote spot on, and got the order right, and was only 2 out on Fox and Clarke. I will leave the decision to you. I'm still pleased that my prediction was that close.
My prediction for round two is as follows.
David Cameron: 85
David Davis: 55
Liam Fox: 58
Fingers crossed for a Cameron V Fox final.
Posted by: KRIS | 19 October 2005 at 15:01
Looking at it, i was closer than Matt K, who hadn't even got the order right, which surely has to be first priority before looking at how close the figures are. I acknowledge that David Spenser was closer with spot on for Clarke and only a total of 8 votes out for all the others, where as i was 10 votes out on the others. It was a great competition though.
Posted by: kris | 19 October 2005 at 15:12
DC 101
LF 51
DD 46
Posted by: Jan | 19 October 2005 at 15:16
DC 94
DD 49
LF 55
Also hoping for Cameron/Fox final 2
Posted by: Ted | 19 October 2005 at 15:18
Why am I reminded of Adrian Sherman, who started off the predicitions in the first round:
"Davis 76
Clarke 42
Fox 42
Cameron 38
Cue, much wailing in the trattorias of Notting Hill. "
Posted by: Ben O | 19 October 2005 at 15:25
DC 91
DD 58
LF 49
Posted by: wasp | 19 October 2005 at 15:27
I think David Spencer's right, by any method he has Kris and me beaten. Curse my blind faith in Ken...
Posted by: Matt K | 19 October 2005 at 15:46
DC 87
DD 58
LF 53
Cameron to win as much as 2/3 of the popular vote.
Posted by: Jamie | 19 October 2005 at 16:29
DC: 87
DD: 54
LF: 57
Members ballot 60% DC, 40% LF
Posted by: D&F | 19 October 2005 at 17:13
Cameron-104
Fox-48
Davis-46
Posted by: christopher owen | 19 October 2005 at 17:14
Thanks kris and Matt K for your kind comments.
Might get egg on my face this time round!!!!!
DC 103
LF 54
DD 51
Well done to all entrants in 1st. round
Posted by: David Spencer | 19 October 2005 at 17:29
DD - 75
DC - 75
LF - 48
Unlikely and I really think that John Boy probably has it about right.
Posted by: Peregrine | 19 October 2005 at 17:58
Cameron - 93
Davis - 55
Fox - 51
Posted by: Edward Lennox | 19 October 2005 at 18:37
Cameron - 96
Davis - 54
Fox - 48
Davis stands down after a weekend of reflection and consultation (and mauling in the press).
Posted by: Heathen | 19 October 2005 at 19:10