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« Sir Malcolm Rifkind quits race - and endorses Ken Clarke | Main | Is your MP consulting you? »

Comments

Andy Cooke

DD: 76
DC: 48
LF: 42
KC: 32

Mark Fulford

DD: 74
DC: 48
KC: 40
LF: 36

John Coulson

DD - 69
KC - 39
LF - 41
DC - 49

David Walker

David Cameron 33
David Davis 75
Ken Clarke 39
Liam Fox 51

christopher owen

DD- 75
DC-48
KC-45
LF-30

Daniel Vince-Archer

Davis - 60
Cameron - 50
Ken - 48
Fox - 40

I really hope I'm wrong.

Henry Cook

DD - 66
DC - 51
LF - 43
KC - 38

Kris

David Davis: 62
David Cameron: 50
Liam Fox: 44
Kenneth Clarke: 42

Adrian Sherman

Davis 76
Clarke 42
Fox 42
Cameron 38


Cue, much wailing in the trattorias of Notting Hill.

Burkean

DD 60
DC 52
LF 55
KC 31

Second round

DD 45
DC 88
LF 65

NickL

DD 63
DC 50
KC 50
LF 35

wasp

DD 69
LF 50
DC 44
KC 35

John Hustings

DD 75
KC 43
LF 42
DC 40

Selsdon Man

Davis 70 (assuming no more defections)
Cameron 44
Fox 44 (including most of the undeclared Cornerstone)
Clarke 36

Davis has a dozen or so former Clarke supporters who could go back to Ken. Davis could also lose support to Fox (right-wing) or Cameron (ex-Portillistas). It could be very close on the first ballot.


Selsdon Man

Sorry Fox should be 48.

Selsdon Man

It seems that wasp and I are almost identical!

Convince me

Round 1

DD 72
DC 50
KC 42
LF 33

Round 2

DD 93
DC 64
KC 39

James Hellyer

DD 66
LF 53
DC 43
KC 36

Oberon Houston

DC...63...then... 82
LF...45...then... 68
DD...53...then... 48
KC...37

malcolm

James H,I think you are letting what you wish for cloud your judgement.I don't believe Liam will finish in the top 2 in the 1st ballot.Fancy a bet?

Elena

DD: 66
LF: 45
KC: 45
DC: 42

Oberon Houston

Blimey, DD out on the first ballot! Who would go on the second Elena?

Oberon Houston

Sorry, DC out on first ballot. Even more interesting, who on the second - KC for a right wing coup?

Elena

Nah. DC would go out first Oberon :).

Elena

I think most of the Cameron backers would go to Clarke. Whoever gets through the first round out of KC or DC (and I think one of them will be the first eliminated) it'll be interesting to see whether some of DD's support goes to LF.

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