Cameron is overwhelming first choice of party members

A YouGov survey of 665 Conservative Party members for today's Telegraph (analysed on UK Polling Report) provides a massive boost to David Cameron's leadership campaign (and some support for Dr Fox's claim to be the best-placed opponent of the Shadow Education Secretary).  59% told YouGov that David Cameron was their first choice; 18% said Liam Fox; and 15% named David Davis.  The 59% support level given to David Cameron by YouGov's scientific poll compares to his 58% rating within this website's own unscientific online poll (at the time of posting when 797 people had voted).  The difference between conservativehome.com's poll and YouGov is the big lead given to Liam Fox (31%) over David Davis (10%). 

YouGov also asked how members would vote in various run-off scenarios:

• David Cameron would enjoy a 50% lead over David Davis in a showdown between the two men (72% over 22%).
• Mr Cameron's lead would be 40% if he had to face Dr Fox (67% over 27%).
• In a highly unlikely Fox versus Davis contest, Dr Fox leads by 48% to 39%.

Also revealed by the YouGov poll is an even divide amongst members on strategic direction:

• 45% said that 'The Conservatives should move towards the political centre with more moderate 'one nation' policies'.
• 48% said that 'The Conservatives should remain firmly on the Right of politics and put clear blue water between them and the Labour Party'.

[The questioners at YouGov obviously haven't heard of the And Theory Of Conservatism and the way that progressive, compassionate policies can be blended with core policies on Europe, tax and crime].

Comments

[Tony the bear]

I am fed up with the way all these politcal scum bags say you are almost sinner if you DONT drugs will piss of to the facists drug addicts who want us all to take drugs or else where square and boring. If that is the type who getsd far in politics then piss of to politicians.

[malcolm]

Ed, can you get rid of these absurd posters who are too cowardly to put their correct email addresses on the blog?
To the two above,grow up!It's not big or clever.

[Daniel Vince-Archer]

Well said Malcolm. I'm hardly Cameron's biggest fan but this sort of nonsense does nobody any favours.

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