Who's backing who? (rolling update 2)

It's now official - David Willetts is endorsing David Davis.  David Willetts is the first leadership contender, with parliamentary backing, to quit the race.  There are now five contenders (with parliamentary backers) still in the race: David Davis, David Cameron, Ken Clarke, Liam Fox and Sir Malcolm Rifkind.  It is not clear who David Willetts' four backers will support.  This rolling update will identify them if and when they - and others - declare.

David Davis (65)

1. David Amess (2/10)
2. Richard Bacon
3. John Baron (2/10)
4. Sir Paul Beresford (2/10)
5. Graham Brady
6. Julian Brazier
7. Dr Greg Clark (24/9)
8. Derek Conway
9. David Davies
10. Philip Davies
11. David Davis
12. Nadine Dorries
13. Jonathan Djanogly
14. James Duddridge
15. Nigel Evans
16. David Evenett
17. Michael Fallon
18. Mark Field (25/9)
19. Eric Forth
20. Roger Gale
21. David Gauke (2/10)
22. Cheryl Gillan (22/9)
23. Paul Goodman
24. Damian Green
25. Dominic Grieve (22/9)
26. Philip Hammond
27. Nick Herbert
28. Mark Hoban (25/9) - former DW supporter
29. Philip Hollobone
30. Adam Holloway (6/10)
31. Stewart Jackson (24/9 in Peterborough Evening News)
32. David Jones
33. Julie Kirkbride
34. Greg Knight
35. Ian Liddell-Grainger (19/9)
36. David Lidington (25/9) - former DW supporter
37. Tim Loughton (19/9)
38. Andrew Mackay (20/9)
39. Anne Main
40. Humphrey Malins (22/9)
41. John Maples
42. Patrick Mercer
43. Andrew Mitchell
44. Malcolm Moss (2/10)
45. Andrew Murrison (30/9)
46. Richard Ottaway (21/9)
47. James Paice (2/10)
48. Mike Penning (2/10)
49. Eric Pickles
50. Mark Pritchard
51. David Ruffley
52. Lee Scott
53. Mark Simmonds (19/9)
54. Keith Simpson (23/9)
55. Richard Spring
56. Robert Syms (19/9)
57. Ian Taylor
58. Shailesh Vara
59. Charles Walker
60. Ben Wallace (2/10)
61. Bill Wiggin
62. David Willetts
63. David Wilshire
64. Ann Winterton (2/10)
65. Nicholas Winterton (21/9)

David Cameron (27)

1. Peter Ainsworth (10/10)
2. Tony Baldry
3. Greg Barker
4. Richard Benyon
5. Sir John Butterfill (29/9)
6. David Cameron
7. Alan Duncan (6/10)
8. Tobias Ellwood
9. Nick Gibb MP (7/10)
10. Michael Gove
11. James Gray (6/10)
12. Jeremy Hunt (6/10)
13. Boris Johnson
14. Mark Lancaster (6/10)
15. Oliver Letwin
16. Peter Luff
17. David Mundell (5/10)
18. George Osborne
19. Andrew Robathan
20. Hugh Robertson (29/9)
21. Grant Shapps (6/10)
22. Nicholas Soames (29/9)   
23. Hugo Swire
24. Ed Vaizey
25. Peter Viggers (8/10)
26. Theresa Villiers (5/10)
27. Jeremy Wright (7/10)

Kenneth Clarke (20)

1. John Bercow
2. Alistair Burt
3. James Clappison (1/10)
4. Kenneth Clarke
5. David Curry
6. Quentin Davies MP (28/9)
7. Stephen Dorrell
8. Edward Garnier (10/10)
9. John Greenway (7/10)
10. John Gummer
11. Charles Hendry (16/9 - was backing David Willetts)
12. John Horam (28/9)
13. Michael Mates (28/9)
14. Anthony Steen
15. Andrew Tyrie
16. Robert Walter
17. Nigel Waterson (30/9)
18. Ann Widdecombe
19. Tim Yeo
20. Sir George Young (28/9)

Liam Fox (15)

1. David Burrowes (10/10)
2. Stephen Crabb (6/10)
3. Liam Fox
4. Chris Grayling
5. Justine Greening
6. Greg Hands
7. Stephen Hammond (6/10)
8. Mark Harper (6/10)
9. Oliver Heald
10. Eleanor Laing
11. Daniel Kawczynski
12. Brooks Newmark (6/10)
13. Stephen O’Brien
14. Gary Streeter
15. Desmond Swayne

Sir Malcolm Rifkind (7)

1. Michael Ancram (7/10)
2. Crispin Blunt
3. Peter Bottomley
4. Sir Patrick Cormack (7/10)
5. Jacqui Lait
6. Andrew Pelling
7. Sir Malcolm Rifkind.

The rolling update for when David Willetts was still in the race can be accessed here.

Comments

[Sally Rideout Baker]

Deposing of Iain Duncan Smith was a mega error. Ken Clarke stands head and shoulders above David Davis. If there was a rerun of Duncan Smith v Ken Clarke with the Tory Party members, Duncan Smith would once again be victorious.

These have been almost three totally wasted years. I have come to the conclusion that the "Man of the Night" has another agenda – the total destruction of the Tory Party.

[Daniel Vince-Archer]

Looking at The Telegraph today and other recent articles, it would seem that the Rifkind camp has dropped its disastrous anti-Ken mantra of late (just as well really, seeing as the Cameron team stole Ken-bashing, previously known as 'doing a Rifkind', as their main campaign theme) - is it possible that Rifkind could be preparing the ground for a move to the Ken team if his support doesn't pick up soon?

[Simon C]

Charles Hendry has declared for Ken Clarke, according to the BBC, so Willetts hasn't persuaded all of his supporters to follow him.

[Selsdon Man]

Not many supporters to follow Willetts, Simon. Nick Gibb and David Lidington are "must gets" for the Cameron camp. Hoban is more likely to favour Davis or Fox.

[John Travis]

4 more MPs for DD. Bacon and Fallon already declared.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,59-1786787,00.html

RICHARD BACON
(MP for Norfolk South)
MICHAEL FALLON
(MP for Sevenoaks)
IAN LIDDELL-GRAINGER
(MP for Bridgwater)
TIM LOUGHTON
(MP for Worthing East & Shoreham)
MARK SIMMONDS
(MP for Boston & Skegness)
ROBERT SYMS
(MP for Poole)
House of Commons

[James Hellyer]

And for me, Lidell-Grainger's blessing is reason enough to vote for A.N. Other!

[John Travis]

Why James ? - It's the one name I didn't know.

[James Hellyer]

Well, besides the fact that his turn as our parliamentary candidate in '97 somehow managed to make Emma Nicholson look like she'd been a good candidare, the man is a nutcase.

[James Hellyer]

By "our", I meant Torridge and West Devon's candidate.

On a less personal note, Iain Lidell-Grainger is a member of Cornerstone:

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-1707253,00.html

... at least according to the Times.

His support for Davis is bad news for Fox supporters like myself, because it indicates that Cornerstone isn't going to vote as a bloc. Of course, he may be one of a few and the majority will follow Leigh's and Hayes' lead. We can but wait...

[John Travis]

Thanks for the info James.

[Selsdon Man]

Davis is attracting most of the "Portillista" vote. If he can get more Cornerstone vote, the Fox campaign will be in trouble. In any case, it is now hard to see how Davis can lose the MP ballot. If he has a huge lead, would Clarke (or Fox or Cameron) risk a divisive membership ballot?

[Simon C]

A little premature, perhaps, Selsdon - bearing in mind he has fewer than 25% of the total body of MPs. There's still a good deal to play for - and an interesting perspective from Lord Ress-Mogg in the Times today.

[James Hellyer]

The FT article contains a new endorsement for David Davis from Sir Nicholas Winterton.

[Selsdon Man]

Simon, the Cornerstone Group appears to be looking for an alternative to Dr Fox. If so, his campaign will be in trouble.

The Clarke, Fox and Rifkind campaigns have not revealed any new supporters in the last week or so. Their campaigns are in danger of losing momentum. The Davis and Cameron campaigns will launch with a new list of supporters next week.

[Peter]

I think the most important bit for David Davis is that he is know getting the backing from committed backers for IDS in 2001,(6) which didn't seem to be going his way at the start.

[Selsdon Man]

Davis, more importantly, is picking up former Clarke supporters like Ottaway and Malins to add to the likes of Green and Taylor. This suggests that Davis is seen as candidate who can unite the Parliamentary party, the Cornerstone Group possibly excepted.

Significantly, none of the other candidates have announced new backers this week. The momentum is clearly with Davis.

[James Hellyer]

That's not momentum, Selsdon, that's the appearance of momentum. If the Davis camp hadn't said they were planning rolling thunder, then we might just believe it was real momentum.

[Peter]

Richard Ottaway backed Portillo last time not Clarke. The importants is numbers know for Davis as he needs to get to 67 to be sure of getting into the final round whatever system is chosen and there is more former IDS MPs out their likely to support him then Clarke from last time of the 108 left to declare offically.

[John G]

James makes a very good point. Rumour weeks ago was that Davis thought he had about 80 MPs on side. I wonder how many of these new backers (Willetts probably excepted - and that's a big one) are really new. Davis could still have trouble reaching the 100, but Fox and Clarke need to secure and publicise new endorsements as a matter of urgency now.

[Selsdon Man]

Davis's support base is wider than one would have thought. I was surprised by most of those who declared this week. I am forecasting at least 75 votes in the first round.

[John Coulson]

To add a publicly declared MP to your list:
Jeremy Wright the new MP for Rugby and Kenilworth has come out for Dr. Fox in his local newspaper: The Rugby Observer. He praises Foxs' courage and performance as Shadow Foreign Secretary in a short diary piece.

[John Coulson]

Does anyone know what John Redwood is up to? I haven't heard any rumours as to who he is supporting and it surprises me he isn't actually vying as a candidate for the cornerstone vote. He does have the credentials.

[James Maskell]

That would be interesting to see...anybody wanna guess how long it is before this rumour goes into the press? I call 48 hours!

[James Hellyer]

Redwood? He has the eurosceptic credentials. But he's also a just gone through a nasty divorce. I can't see that appealing to Cornerstone.

If Euroscepticism is their thing, then they'll back Dr Fox.

[John Coulson]

Redwood WAS mentioned at the very start as a possible candidate. He has performed well, and without his usual abrasive manner, in his new shadow cabinet position. He sided with Davis over the ID cards debate so he may back him and hope for a good job - if you read Heseltines autobiography he is desperate to be Shadow Chancellor.