Who's backing who? (rolling update 2)

It's now official - David Willetts is endorsing David Davis.  David Willetts is the first leadership contender, with parliamentary backing, to quit the race.  There are now five contenders (with parliamentary backers) still in the race: David Davis, David Cameron, Ken Clarke, Liam Fox and Sir Malcolm Rifkind.  It is not clear who David Willetts' four backers will support.  This rolling update will identify them if and when they - and others - declare.

David Davis (65)

1. David Amess (2/10)
2. Richard Bacon
3. John Baron (2/10)
4. Sir Paul Beresford (2/10)
5. Graham Brady
6. Julian Brazier
7. Dr Greg Clark (24/9)
8. Derek Conway
9. David Davies
10. Philip Davies
11. David Davis
12. Nadine Dorries
13. Jonathan Djanogly
14. James Duddridge
15. Nigel Evans
16. David Evenett
17. Michael Fallon
18. Mark Field (25/9)
19. Eric Forth
20. Roger Gale
21. David Gauke (2/10)
22. Cheryl Gillan (22/9)
23. Paul Goodman
24. Damian Green
25. Dominic Grieve (22/9)
26. Philip Hammond
27. Nick Herbert
28. Mark Hoban (25/9) - former DW supporter
29. Philip Hollobone
30. Adam Holloway (6/10)
31. Stewart Jackson (24/9 in Peterborough Evening News)
32. David Jones
33. Julie Kirkbride
34. Greg Knight
35. Ian Liddell-Grainger (19/9)
36. David Lidington (25/9) - former DW supporter
37. Tim Loughton (19/9)
38. Andrew Mackay (20/9)
39. Anne Main
40. Humphrey Malins (22/9)
41. John Maples
42. Patrick Mercer
43. Andrew Mitchell
44. Malcolm Moss (2/10)
45. Andrew Murrison (30/9)
46. Richard Ottaway (21/9)
47. James Paice (2/10)
48. Mike Penning (2/10)
49. Eric Pickles
50. Mark Pritchard
51. David Ruffley
52. Lee Scott
53. Mark Simmonds (19/9)
54. Keith Simpson (23/9)
55. Richard Spring
56. Robert Syms (19/9)
57. Ian Taylor
58. Shailesh Vara
59. Charles Walker
60. Ben Wallace (2/10)
61. Bill Wiggin
62. David Willetts
63. David Wilshire
64. Ann Winterton (2/10)
65. Nicholas Winterton (21/9)

David Cameron (27)

1. Peter Ainsworth (10/10)
2. Tony Baldry
3. Greg Barker
4. Richard Benyon
5. Sir John Butterfill (29/9)
6. David Cameron
7. Alan Duncan (6/10)
8. Tobias Ellwood
9. Nick Gibb MP (7/10)
10. Michael Gove
11. James Gray (6/10)
12. Jeremy Hunt (6/10)
13. Boris Johnson
14. Mark Lancaster (6/10)
15. Oliver Letwin
16. Peter Luff
17. David Mundell (5/10)
18. George Osborne
19. Andrew Robathan
20. Hugh Robertson (29/9)
21. Grant Shapps (6/10)
22. Nicholas Soames (29/9)   
23. Hugo Swire
24. Ed Vaizey
25. Peter Viggers (8/10)
26. Theresa Villiers (5/10)
27. Jeremy Wright (7/10)

Kenneth Clarke (20)

1. John Bercow
2. Alistair Burt
3. James Clappison (1/10)
4. Kenneth Clarke
5. David Curry
6. Quentin Davies MP (28/9)
7. Stephen Dorrell
8. Edward Garnier (10/10)
9. John Greenway (7/10)
10. John Gummer
11. Charles Hendry (16/9 - was backing David Willetts)
12. John Horam (28/9)
13. Michael Mates (28/9)
14. Anthony Steen
15. Andrew Tyrie
16. Robert Walter
17. Nigel Waterson (30/9)
18. Ann Widdecombe
19. Tim Yeo
20. Sir George Young (28/9)

Liam Fox (15)

1. David Burrowes (10/10)
2. Stephen Crabb (6/10)
3. Liam Fox
4. Chris Grayling
5. Justine Greening
6. Greg Hands
7. Stephen Hammond (6/10)
8. Mark Harper (6/10)
9. Oliver Heald
10. Eleanor Laing
11. Daniel Kawczynski
12. Brooks Newmark (6/10)
13. Stephen O’Brien
14. Gary Streeter
15. Desmond Swayne

Sir Malcolm Rifkind (7)

1. Michael Ancram (7/10)
2. Crispin Blunt
3. Peter Bottomley
4. Sir Patrick Cormack (7/10)
5. Jacqui Lait
6. Andrew Pelling
7. Sir Malcolm Rifkind.

The rolling update for when David Willetts was still in the race can be accessed here.

Comments

[James Hellyer]

Steve Norris is backing David Cameron.

http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/article318246.ece

As Cameron now has him and Bruce Anderson onside, it's time for Conservatives with political judgement to rally to another candidate!

[Sean Fear]

I would be gob-smacked if either Hayes or Howarth backed Clarke. He offers neither euroscepticism nor social conservatism to them.

[James Hellyer]

As Hayes and Howarth were among IDS's original supporters, I'd be very surprised if they backed Clarke.

[Andy Stidwill]

The most interesting finding in today's ICM poll for the Politics Show has to be that amongst the wider electorate Cameron only has 13% support, precisely the same as Davis.
This confirms what I've been suspecting since Cameron's speech - that his new-found popularity is very much confined to Tory party members. Clarke remains the public's choice.

[James Hellyer]

Or it simply confirms that the public at large don't watch the party conferences.

[Cllr Iain Lindley]

Andy, it's pretty obvious that the numbers for Clarke reflect a recognition factor. The last week has seen unprecedented coverage for Cameron, Davis and Fox and the result has been that Clarke's numbers have plummeted. Obviously the change has not been as marked as amongst the members - more of the members were paying attention to the Conference coverage.

[Coffee Monster]

Peter Ainsworth is declaring for Cameron and David Burrowes for Fox according to The Daily Telegraph:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2005/10/10/ntory10.xml&sSheet=/news/2005/10/10/ixnewstop.html

There is also an interesting list of all the undeclared MPs, with indications of who they might go for:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2005/10/10/ntory110.xml&sSheet=/news/2005/10/10/ixnewstop.html

The Telegraph seems to think Edward Garnier has declared, but I don't know who for.

[Peter]

Know that undeclared Cornerstone supporters number 18MPs I think like Tim the only thing they can do know is to support either Davis or Fox in the first round? I would say through that out of the remaining 64MPs at least 34 should go to either Davis or Fox in the first round.

[Editor]

I've updated as directed, Coffee Monster!

[Coffee Monster]

Thanks Ed!

Garnier going for Clarke isn't a great surprise. By the way, in a previous post:

http://conservativehome.blogs.com/toryleadership/2005/09/omigod_what_hav.html

you stated that Davis had a 'public declaration of support from the whole of the frontbench home affairs team'.

However, this isn't true as Garnier is a Shadow Minister for Home Affairs and will probably be sitting next to Davis all afternoon. Not the best time to make his declaration!

[Editor]

A good point.

[Simon C]

Editor,

Today's Times sets out a list of hustings over the next few days: the 92 Group; MPs' wives (this seems delightfully less than modernising, since they don't have a vote, & is presumably on the basis that they will influence their spouses. I wonder if MPs' husbands are invited too...); and next Monday the 1922 committee.

Are your bugs, moles and other sources ready to brief us all?

[Rob]

BBC reporting Sir Malcolm has withdrawn and will back Ken Clarke.

[Selsdon Man]

Confirmed on epolitix too.

http://www.epolitix.com/EN/News/200510/a1277de4-3d30-4c00-9ed2-8e31d6bf8611.htm

That will put Clarke, Fox and Cameron very close.

[James Hellyer]

I think that means Michael Ancram will go to the Fox or Davis camps. He stood with IDS against Portillo's "modernisers" and Ken Clarke in 2001, so I can't see him supporting Clarke or "moderniser" Cameron.

[andy]

So the ID card is going to cost us just 30 pounds, which means another 1.44 billion of indirect taxation, if you don't include the under 16's. Methinks that we have a question for the panellists on Question Time tonight. Has this figure been rounded down so that on average it will cost only us 30 pounds a year, because the card has a life expectancy of five years, and that the actual cost on purchase will be closer to the 170 pounds estimate that was given by the LSE? If so then this 14.4 billion would surely be enought to fill Gordon's black hole.