Take a look at the top of the right hand column and the Who is (publicly) backing who? link...
This morning David Davis' tally has hit the impressive total of fifty. Just as impressively he has got there with a public declaration of support from the whole of the frontbench home affairs team. Those who have worked most closely with him in the last two years haven't run into the hands of another courtier but have stayed loyal to Mr Davis.
With just over 25% of the parliamentary party backing him, Mr Davis must be secretly wishing that he won't have to face the party grassroots. At the beginning of this phoney election process a Davis victory was thought most likely amongst rank-and-file members. He is now more vulnerable if the Constitutional Convention rejects the Howard-Maude-Monbiot disenfranchisement.
This reality was brought home to me yesterday when a leading disciple of Kandidate Ken thanked me for the work I had been doing to help defeat H-M-M. I responded with a thin smile. I try and keep this blog reasonably even-handed (outside of Good Week, Bad Week and my occasional editorials) but regular readers will probably have guessed that KC isn't my favourite contender. Kandidate Ken's best chance now lies with the vote staying with rank-and-file activists. Have I played my small part in helping him win? The price of democracy can be high...
Evenhanded? I'm going to check where you last referred to smoke filled rooms!
Okay, it was an editorial...
Posted by: James Hellyer | 22 September 2005 at 10:31
Ed...I've also had it suggested to me that we revolting peasants may have cleared the way for the Cuddly One.
But at the end of the day, when all's said and done, when the cows come home to roost, democracy is surely the most important bit. Our Party just cannot afford to go backwards.
Anyway, I have great faith in the sound judgement of our much maligned members. And I'm sure they're going to pick the right man.
Posted by: Wat Tyler | 22 September 2005 at 10:47
Whatever the result you have done the right thing in campaigning for retaining Conservative Party democracy.If Ken wins because the members have voted for him it will be better for the party as a whole than if for example DD wins on the votes of the MPs alone.
Posted by: malcolm | 22 September 2005 at 10:49
I think that's right. Retaining member involvement in the leadership election matters more than the outcome of the present election.
Posted by: Sean Fear | 22 September 2005 at 10:50
Youve made the right call here Editor. If we allow the party to remove the vote then we will be failing as members of a so-called democratic party. If we were to let them do that we wouldnt be Conservatives.
I dont think you will pay the price...you have done the right thing and you can hold your head high for the stance you have taken.
Posted by: James Maskell | 22 September 2005 at 11:11
Malcolm, "If Ken wins because the members have voted for him it will be better for the Party as a whole than if for example DD wins on the votes of MPS alone"...Change the year from 2005 to 2001 and change the word 'Ken' to 'Duncan Smith'. Democarcy and fairness are great if we want to carry on electing leaders which please Party members and nobody else. MPs represent the people. Members represent themselves.
Posted by: Michael Fishwick | 22 September 2005 at 11:20
MP's are supposed to represent their consituency, Michael. That does not mean that their views are representative of either their constituents or the party they were elacted as reprentatives of.
Posted by: James Hellyer | 22 September 2005 at 11:23
Of course James. But I still prefer my naive view to being dogmatic about a democratic Party which could saddle us with another leader who can't win an election. The tail shouldn't wag the dog.
Posted by: Michael | 22 September 2005 at 11:40
The MPs are the tail, Michael. They are selected as candidates to stand for their local (and national) party.
Posted by: James Hellyer | 22 September 2005 at 12:06
I guess the key question on this matter is which is more important - the means (i.e. how the leader is selected/elected) or the ends (i.e. which leader is selected/elected)?
Posted by: Daniel Vince-Archer | 22 September 2005 at 12:11
I don't know how many MPs you know Michael but the idea that they represent their constituents made me smile a bit.You don't think friendship ,ideological similiraties,preferment and patronage play any part in their decision as to who to vote for do you?
I voted for IDS in 2001 and now wish I hadn't.We all learn by experience.After another catasrophic election defeat and 4 more years of utterly ineffectual opposition I will vote for the candidate who I believe will lead us to victory.If that is Ken I will swallow my euroscepticism,vote and campaign for him and try to help him in any way I can.
Posted by: malcolm | 22 September 2005 at 12:19
Most Conservative voters at the last election didn't get a Conservative MP. Whose going to represent their views?
Posted by: Sean Fear | 22 September 2005 at 12:23
To Daniels question the means is more important. The democratic will of the Party as a whole has to be the leading factor. If the Party wish Malcolm Rifkind to be leader (its possible) then we have to accept the result, however much many of us may not like that situation. We cant for example say "We cant let the members pick because they will pick Mr X instead of Mr Y. The MPs will choose Mr Y...lets have the MPs vote instead". Thats not fair and its not right.
Posted by: James Maskell | 22 September 2005 at 12:29
Sean, activists who don't have an MP (like me) are allowed to communicate with MPs in the Party.
Posted by: michael | 22 September 2005 at 13:48
The reason I asked the question is that all this talk of engineering the leadership s/election process in order to prevent/ensure certain people becoming leader reminded me of Princess Tony's attempts to stop Ken Livingstone becoming the Labour candidate for the London mayoral election. And we all know what happened then.
Posted by: Daniel Vince-Archer | 22 September 2005 at 13:55
Yes Daniel, The Conservatives elected Jeffrey Archer!!!
Posted by: michael | 22 September 2005 at 14:59
I think Conservatives will think more carefully about who to elect as their leader than for a non job like Mayor.The fact that we couldn't get anyone better than Shagger Norris for the role last time shows how seriously Conservatives take that position.
Posted by: malcolm | 22 September 2005 at 15:19
So what we're saying is that our panacea that is one member one vote has given us; Jeffrey Archer, Steve Norris and Duncan Smith? Hooray for Party democracy!
Posted by: michael | 22 September 2005 at 15:33
So who would you have liked to see handpicked by the elite for these positions Michael? Come on, wow us!
Posted by: Sean Fear | 22 September 2005 at 15:51
So what do you suggest Michael? The mayoral vote can be discounted because it didn't attract any high calibre candidates but because the members made the wrong choice (your opinion) in 2001 they should never be allowed to vote again?
I suggest you look at Lord Hodgsons very eloquent defence of party democracy and think hard about the effect taking that democracy away will have on the party activists and the electorate as a whole.
Posted by: malcolm | 22 September 2005 at 15:55
Steve Norris did well last time even though his campaign was not as good as his first attempt.
As far as his election as candidate is concerned, his competition lacked quality to put it politely. BTW, if Steve is to be known by his Shagger soubriquet, Andrew Boff's equivalent would offend our Editor.
Posted by: Selsdon Man | 22 September 2005 at 15:57
I think Norris wears his nickname with pride! As I remember his first campaign involved dissing the Conservative party at every oppurtunity and the 2nd revolved around his chairmanship of Jarvis. There was no serious discussion on the needs of London in either.
Sorry Selsdon,I don't know anything about Andrew Boff.
Posted by: malcolm | 22 September 2005 at 16:09
My point was that the Labour high command effectively manipulated the candidate selection process to secure the nomination for Frank Dobson and alienated Labour supporters, who preferred Ken Livingstone. If the Conservative leader selection process is conducted in the same manner, the Conservatives risk falling into the same trap.
Posted by: Daniel Vince-Archer | 22 September 2005 at 16:10
I thought the idea to give members a vote to put forward a raft of candidates from which MPs select a leader, was pretty sound. My concern is not so much that members made the wrong choice in 2001 but that their choice was at odds with the Parliamentary Party. To be fair to Duncan Smith, a leader can only be judged as the "wrong choice" after he has lost a General Election.
Posted by: michael | 22 September 2005 at 16:17
I understand your point Daniel and entirely agree with it.I look forward to Michaels response to your point and others.
Posted by: malcolm | 22 September 2005 at 16:18