No big movements emerge from this month's shadow cabinet ratings although it is notable that Ken Clarke and George Osborne are both up by more than ten percentage points. One thing that I will highlight, however, is the solid rating now given to Philip Hammond MP, Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury. Political Betting's Mike Smithson spotlighted him last night too. It's not been a spectacular rise but party members are steadily marking up Mr Hammond as each month goes by. The Chief Secretary to the Treasury - traditionally a guardian of Treasury money - will play a vital role in the next government. Tory members appear pleased with the man that David Cameron has given that job.
FULL SHADOW CABINET RATINGS
Party members satisfied minus dissatisfied for September, November and December 2008 and February, March and April 2009 (latest numbers on right):
- William Hague +82% | +85% | +73% | +72% | +76% | +80%
- Chris Grayling +69% | +70% | +74% | +71% | +69% | +73%
- Michael Gove +60% | +62% | +67% | +66% | +70% | +71%
- Dominic Grieve +51% | +63% | +69% | +63% | +65% | +66%
- Liam Fox +52% | +46% | +44% | +48% | +54% | +58%
- Lord Strathclyde +50% | +52% | +55% | +52% | +54% | +57%
- Philip Hammond +45% | +46% | +43% | +45% | +49% | +55%
- George Osborne +70% | +2% | +30% | +34% | +43% | +55%
- Eric Pickles +75% | +71% | +75% | +70% | +50% | +55%
- Alan Duncan +55% | +55% | +57% | +49% | +50% | +53%
- Ken Clarke N/A | N/A | N/A | +57% | +43% | +51%
- Pauline Neville-Jones +43% | +44% | +43% | +44% | +47% | +48%
- Andrew Lansley +45% | +43% | +42% | +39% | +44% | +44%
- Grant Shapps N/A | N/A | N/A | +25% | +36% | +40%
- Jeremy Hunt +33% | +39% | +36% | +33% | +37% | +39%
- David Willetts +21% | +27% | +28% | +20% | +30% | +35%
- Nick Herbert +44% | +45% | +42% | +32% | +33% | +34%
- Patrick McLoughlin +33% | +26% | +28% | +26% | +30% | +30%
- Owen Paterson +23% | +24% | +29% | +24% | +28% | +30%
- Oliver Letwin +26% | +27% | +20% | +18% | +20% | +22%
- Theresa Villers +4% | +19% | +17% | +19% | +20% | +22%
- Greg Clark N/A | +23% | +15% | +18% | +24% | +20%
- Mark Francois N/A | N/A | N/A | +8% | +21% | +20%
- Theresa May +5% | +3% | +7% | +2% | +12% | +16%
- Andrew Mitchell +19% | +18% | +15% | +16% | +20% | +16%
- Cheryl Gillan +10% | +12% | +8% | +7% | +14% | +13%
- Francis Maude +17% | +11% | +10% | +6% | +11% | +13%
- Caroline Spelman -8% | -5% | -10% | -1% | +13% | +12%
- Sayeeda Warsi +11% | +16% | +10% | +8% | +6% | +12%
- David Mundell +2% | +3% | +4% | +0% | +7% | +7%
1,368 Tory members voted on 22nd and 23rd April.
Tim Montgomerie
He is my MP and a very good constituency MP. Unfortunately he has changed his views on the EU since promotion to the front bench; he once said to me "My heart is with you" and "I`m a eurosceptic like you. I agree with you ninety percent".
If he repeated to Mr. Cameron what he said to me he would no longer be in the shadow cabinet.
A nice chap and intelligent but to me a big disappointment.
Posted by: Edward Huxley | April 25, 2009 at 08:29
Well that's very sad to hear, he seemed to be a good prospect - but I see now he was taking the Cameroonian line when he said things like "I am proud of our English identity, as part of our identity" on Question Time on the 23rd. He seemed reserved, as if he was restraining himself from saying his true feelings, and it must be because he cares more about his job in Cabinet than his views. Shame.
www.workingclasstory.com
Posted by: Working Class Tory | April 25, 2009 at 08:50
I find it hard to understand the improved ratings in the Shadow Treasury team when they are still rated below the Government in economic competence. If they can't shine above a Government that's delivered the worst economic conditions in a century, what chance is there of them ever coming good?
Posted by: Iain | April 25, 2009 at 09:03
I have been very impressed by Philip Hammond recently. Its all about Cameron getting his team more visible. I will certainly be highly rating PH in the next shadow cabinet poll.
Posted by: Bernard from Horsham | April 25, 2009 at 09:52
Good that Teresa Villiers is now winning more support too. She has one of our best policies (opposition to R3).
Posted by: Pink Tory | April 25, 2009 at 10:06
Did anyone see Alan Duncan on have I got news for you last night?
Posted by: Chris Burley | April 25, 2009 at 11:14
Cheryl Gillan is the dark horse for me. She's bright, 'mumsy' but tough, articulate and likeable - the Conservative Mo Mowlem?
Posted by: Matthew Lipson | April 25, 2009 at 11:32
I still don't understand why Sayeeda Warsi doesn't do well in these polls, she's extremely competent at her job.
(or perhaps I do understand, and would just rather not acknowledge the reality...)
Posted by: Andy | April 25, 2009 at 11:46
If there is going to be a change then I would go for Ken Clarke as Chancellor. He has the authority, experience and ability to communicate for the job. Am suprised that his rating is not higher in the Survey when one considers his quite excellent performances on the Media, whether its newsnight, Sky or Daily Politics. In fact I would go so far as to say that if he was Shadow Chancellor our poll atings would be in the upper 40's and stay there.
Posted by: Peter Buss | April 25, 2009 at 12:31
"I still don't understand why Sayeeda Warsi doesn't do well in these polls, she's extremely competent at her job.
(or perhaps I do understand, and would just rather not acknowledge the reality...)"
I think it is ridiculous to suggest, as you so clearly are that race is an issue here regarding how people rate Baroness Warsi. The simple point is people believe, myself included that she is not doing a very good job.
I remember her appearing on Daily Politics after PMQ's when Harriet Harmen took over and she didnd't push the party in any way whatsoever. She talked about how difficult it was for a woman in politics and about how good a job Harmen did. She is a very poor party advocate.
As for Ken Clarke I think the reason he never ranks very highly is because of his screw ups, be it the Europe issue, the Inheritance Tax issue etc. People are sick of him being a loose cannon when we need a tight team in opposition.
Posted by: Jsheedycf | April 25, 2009 at 12:36
I thought this was about Philip Hammond.
Posted by: Edward Huxley | April 25, 2009 at 12:58
I always enjoy hearing Philip in conversation with that non-entity Yvette Cooper-Balls.
She always parrots the Brown partisan line (how many times do we have to hear it) and always swipes at the Conservatives whilst Philip remains calm, makes his case without recourse to personality slants.
He comes across as very statesmanlike whisle Cooper (for example) is little better that a dim-witted parrot.
But then I am biased I suppose!
Posted by: Steve York Norwich Member 102335 | April 25, 2009 at 17:36
"I still don't understand why Sayeeda Warsi doesn't do well in these polls, she's extremely competent at her job."
Posted by: Andy
The point is, she isn't.
She is supposed to be in charge of community cohesion, but so far her only 'big idea' has been to ban qhat.
I'm a lager man myself, so it's no skin off my nose, but the fact that all she can think of is banning something is pretty pathetic.
Compare that with Boris Johnson's inspired celebration of the 'Turkish bacon salesman' St George, which was a great way of encouraging all of our citizens to celebrate their Englishness.
Posted by: Francis | April 26, 2009 at 00:06
Without wanting to bang on, type 'Sayeeda Warsi' into Google news.
You'll find five stories, headed by one from the Enfield & Haringey Independent. This woman is not pulling her weight.
Posted by: Francis | April 26, 2009 at 00:47
How about his huge expense claims? Why does he need a second home?
Posted by: sarah | May 22, 2009 at 20:37