Speaking in Islamabad, David Cameron will today outline five steps for dealing with modern foreign policy threats. In his speech, he also discusses Pakistan and Russia at length, calling on Pakistan to bear down on extremists, and on Europe to work out an agreed approach to Russian aggression.
A liberal conservative foreign policy: “My starting point is the philosophy that I believe in, the philosophy that I would apply to international affairs if elected. I am a liberal Conservative. Liberal – because I believe in freedom, human rights and democracy, and I want to see more of these things in our world. But Conservative, because I believe strongly in the continued relevance of the nation state and because I am sceptical of grand utopian schemes to re-make the world according to a politician’s timetable. My instinct is to work patiently with the grain of human nature; with the flow of culture, tradition and history."
Modern challenges: "Robert Kagan and others argue that the rise of China, and the resurgence of Russia, call into question the assumption that the growth of economic liberty would eventually lead to a global embrace of liberal political values. The rise of these autocracies, some believe, offers an alternative political model rising living standards in a framework of order, unencumbered by the chaotic inefficiencies of Western democracy.
“At the same time, the Western democracies have faced problems of their own. The experience of trying to build democracies in Iraq and in Afghanistan, and the way in which Western democracies have conducted some aspects of the fight against terrorism have undermined our standing in the world.
“So faced with these challenges, what is the liberal Conservative response? I believe there should be five essential steps to our response.
“First, we must hold fast to our values. Second, the democracies must stick together. Third, we need to understand the full nature of the threats that face us. Fourth, we must display stamina and patience. And finally we must always strive to act with moral authority.
Holding fast to our values: "Holding fast to the basic idea - not losing confidence in freedom, human rights and democracy. That is the liberal part of liberal Conservatism, and we should welcome the opportunity to make the case for the open and plural society once again. But we should also remember the Conservative part. We should accept that we cannot impose democracy at the barrel of a gun; that we cannot drop democracy from 10,000 feet – and we shouldn’t try.
“Put crudely, that was what was wrong with the ‘neo-con’ approach, and why I am a liberal Conservative, not a neo – Conservative."
Democracies must stick together: "They are stronger when they stand together... As a country that has recently reasserted its democracy, you understand that very well. The importance of standing together is one reason why I felt so strongly about what has happened many miles away from here in the Caucasus and why I felt it was important to go to Tbilisi and underline my support for Georgia at this decisive moment in its history."
Understanding the threats we face: "Today none is greater than that posed by terrorism. We can see that clearly in both Britain and Pakistan.
“Pakistan has suffered terribly at the hands of terrorism. 56 suicide bombs in 2007, over 640 dead and injured. It is an appalling – and rising – toll of misery. In Britain, we have had our own attacks, and many more attempted attacks which have been thwarted – some thanks to co-operation with Pakistan, for which we are grateful.
“Let’s be clear that the threat we face – principally from Al Qaeda and its affiliates - remains a formidable danger to your society and to mine.
"... The longer the Taliban can operate with relative freedom in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas, North West Frontier Province and Baluchistan, the more they will threaten not just the future of Afghanistan but the future – some would say the survival – of Pakistan itself.
“Forgive my candour. But it is the candour of a friend. The truth is that we will only tackle this scourge successfully if we work together.
"We need you to bear down on extremists, including those madrassas that are indoctrinating and recruiting young people. We need you – and I do not underestimate the difficulty of what I am saying – to bring greater governance and control to the Federally Administered Tribal Areas, to disrupt Taliban activity there, and to deny them as a safe haven for terrorists. We need your continued co-operation on counter-terrorism, and we need to be sure that all your governmental agencies are fully committed to this goal.
“Because – and I say this not in a spirit of recrimination – it is on your commitment to delivering these goals that Pakistan’s international reputation will depend. So for your own sake, as well as ours, this is an issue on which there is no room for ambivalence."
Stamina and patience: "[I]n both our promotion of democracy and in our fight against extremist terror we must demonstrate patience and humility; commitment and stamina.
“Freedom, human rights and democracy take root over decades, not years. A liberal Conservative approach recognises that democracy must be built around the institutions, habits and culture of each country. Democracy should be the work of patient craftsmanship and not of a uniform mass production line, if the final product is to be of a quality that endures."
Upholding moral authority: “Of course the conduct of international affairs must always be tempered by realism. But these great international challenges of the 21st century they are moral questions, not just questions of realpolitik. We must strive to address these questions in a way that is consistent and enhances our reputation rather than undermines it.
“A moral mission requires moral methods. We must not stoop to illiberalism, whether at Guantanamo Bay or by passing legislation for excessive periods of detention without trial. We must not turn a blind eye to the excesses of our allies – abuses of human rights in some Arab countries, for example. Otherwise might becomes the only standard of right, we open ourselves to charges of hypocrisy, and we sink in the eyes of the world."
Cameron concludes:
"Britain has a valuable role to play in the world, standing on the side of those who are struggling for democracy and justice. That is our continuing duty and responsibility. To stand, as one of the world’s oldest democracies, alongside some of the world’s newest democracies. And I earnestly hope Pakistan will join us in that endeavour."
The speech also touches on democracy promotion: "Today people say that democracy can never take root in Muslim lands, or that democracy is un-Islamic. I regard that view as another prejudice, like all those prejudices from the past, which seek to deny human dignity. As Benazir Bhutto argued so powerfully in the book she wrote before she was murdered, there is nothing in Islam, and nothing in Islamic nations, which means that those nations cannot be democracies.
“Quite the opposite. There are majority Muslim nations like Malaysia, Indonesia and Turkey which are all democratic. There are Muslim voices, in Iran, in Egypt, in Lebanon and in Palestine which speak up for democracy."
Russia: “According to the Russians, as Philip Stephens has noted, this is somehow all our, or rather the West’s, fault. If only we hadn’t provoked the Russians by welcoming the likes of Ukraine and Georgia into the democratic community of nations. If only we had, instead, slammed the door shut when they – and the former subjects of the Soviet Empire from the Baltic to the Balkans – had sought to protect their security as part of NATO and enhance their prosperity by joining the EU. That is Russia’s claim. There are some who echo it.
“We need to show greater understanding of Russia’s position, they argue - of her historic anxieties about encirclement, and her difficulties in adapting to the loss of empire. I take a different view. What Russia has done is profoundly wrong. It cannot be excused, condoned or explained away. Russia’s actions in Georgia throw into sharp relief the new shape of old powers.
"... Now is the time to take a long-term and united view, particularly in Europe. There must be no more scurrying of European leaders to Moscow to compete for Mr Putin’s favours. This got us nowhere. And let’s be clear the EU does not need a new Treaty to work out an agreed policy on Russia, taking account of the views of Russia’s neighbours in Eastern Europe, who are now our full partners."
3.30pm update: Following today's assassination attempt on Pakistan's Prime Minister, David Cameron stated:
“It’s not yet clear exactly what happened to Prime Minister Gilani’s convoy here in Islamabad but the incident is a reminder of the permanent threat from terrorism that this country faces. I think that coming so soon after Benazir Bhutto’s appalling assassination, and the terrible number of suicide bombings here, it shows how we must work together to defeat terrorism.”
Good stuff Cameron agree with most of it. However by criticising the Americans over Guantanamo or repressive Arab regimes whose help we will need in the future I fear he's being a bit naive.
Posted by: Malcolm Dunn | September 03, 2008 at 13:25
"We should accept that we cannot impose democracy at the barrel of a gun; that we cannot drop democracy from 10,000 feet – and we shouldn’t try."
When will Dave bring our troops home from Bush/McCain's Iraq war then?
Posted by: Cleethorpes Rock | September 03, 2008 at 13:30
"We need to show greater understanding of Russia’s position, they argue - of her historic anxieties about encirclement .. I take a different view. What Russia has done is profoundly wrong. It cannot be excused, condoned or explained away."
Which in effect says to Russia: "You have no right to get angry about having a powerful military block on your borders so just shut up, you're in the wrong, we're right even though we had promised not to extend NATO into your front porch, we've changed our minds." Where does that leave us?
"If only we had, instead, slammed the door shut when they – and the former subjects of the Soviet Empire from the Baltic to the Balkans – had sought to protect their security as part of NATO and enhance their prosperity by joining the EU."
Well what's wrong with pursuing a foreign policy which accords with the security and prosperity of our own country, Why are we obliged to guarantee the security and prosperity of the former Soviet Empire? Why does he neglect to explain this?
Posted by: Adrian | September 03, 2008 at 13:41
All good well meaning waffle with which no reasonable person could disagree. But there is no statement of hard policy their either.
What would Mr Cameron do about the EU Lisbon (Constitutional) Treaty? Or is that not now regarded as foreign policy?
Posted by: David_at_Home | September 03, 2008 at 13:43
I have just gone to conservatives.com and read the whole speech. I urge all to do this. It is very moving and beautifully put together. This is a profound statement of principle.
Posted by: RDC | September 03, 2008 at 13:47
This man is seriously confused. What is he on about?
Can't he stick to empathising with single mums on council estates? He is great at that.
I am shocked that he could fly in and offer his hosts: "We need you to..."
He will have been written off as a wind-bag. That is not good, considering he may be the next British PM. Very embarrassing.
Posted by: Henry Mayhew - pro-Islamic UKIPer | September 03, 2008 at 13:50
GONG!
We managed 3 posts this time before the EU treaty gets into the thread!
Posted by: Cleethorpes Rock | September 03, 2008 at 13:53
I am inclined to agree with RDC rather than Henry Mayhew on this and can certainly say I felt moved by reading this thoughtful, authoritative yet not authoritarian statement!
I believe if David Cameron holds fast to these five essential steps he won't go far wrong!
Posted by: Sally Roberts | September 03, 2008 at 14:16
This is clearly as close as he will ever get to admitting that the Iraq war was wrong!
Posted by: pleased | September 03, 2008 at 14:38
Sally, I feel sure that you were a prefect at school and that you agreed, without demur, with every word the Head Girl spoke!
Posted by: David_at_Home | September 03, 2008 at 14:40
Taking sideswipes at Russians and Arabs might please a few minority foreign interests, it might even earn him a few sleazy donations to the party, but it does nothing for me. I had hoped he might to be friends with most countries but here he is picking enemies before he's even started.
Posted by: Lancelot | September 03, 2008 at 14:51
I really can't understand why some people find fault in this speech. I have just read it and I think it is a coherent statement of what our foreign policy will be.
David at Home - there is more to foreign policy than just the EU. If you want an answer to the Lisbon treaty then watch the Cameron Direct event in Barrow, he gives a clear answer about dealing with this treaty
Henry Mayhew - I would expect a British PM (soon to be) to offer advice, in a reasoned and polite way, wouldn't you or would you just like to pretend the outside world doesn't exist?
Posted by: John | September 03, 2008 at 15:02
"Sally, I feel sure that you were a prefect at school and that you agreed, without demur, with every word the Head Girl spoke!"
Actually you couldn't be more wrong, David! I was never made a prefect as I was far too naughty...
Posted by: Sally Roberts | September 03, 2008 at 15:12
The problem with Henry Mayhew is that he seems incapable of grasping anything a bit complicated. The world is complicated, if you are serious then you must address the complications even if some people have difficulty keeping up.
Posted by: David Sergeant | September 03, 2008 at 15:23
The way to discover if a speech is vaccuous waffle is to turn it around, and see if anyone could disagree with it. Let's try that, shall we?
"I believe in freedom, human rights and democracy, and I want to see more of these things in our world."
-->
"I don't believe in freedom, human rights and democracy, and I want to fewer of these things in our world."
Hmm. Waffle.
It does tell us something about him, though. I think using the language of the market to describe democracy is particularly telling - democracy as a product, indeed.
Posted by: passing leftie | September 03, 2008 at 15:57
David - You are probably more intelligent than me then. What the F does this mean:
"I am sceptical of grand utopian schemes to re-make the world according to a politician’s timetable."
If I was Dave I would offer friendship and help, do a bit of flattery, refer to everyone else's wonderful history and forbears and ask for their advice. Then when I was in power I would know what was going on a bit better and would be able to have a genuinely personal chat with my counterparties.
The foolish words: "We need you to" would not pass my lips. I don't mean to be too harsh Dave C, but you really need to think again imho. Please study the great teachers Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al Makhtoum, Sheikh Rashid bin Saeed al Makhtoum and Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan al Nahyan, to get a new perspective on diplomacy, that you might find useful.
Posted by: Henry Mayhew - Dubai - flash but good | September 03, 2008 at 16:09
This speech sounds depressingly Hurdian, laced with a strong dash of foreign office defeatism and inertia, and seems to focus on a long litany of things we shouldn't do rather than any attempt to provide strong moral leadership in international affairs. Where is the warning to latter day Saddam Husseins and Milosevics that they will not be able to get away with territorial aggression or ethnic cleansing ? While Cameron is busy being patient, humble and ever so liberal they will just carry on regardless.
Posted by: johnC | September 03, 2008 at 16:14
Passing Leftie,
Waffle can be something with which no sensible person would disagree. So praising motherhood and apple pie is waffle unless the speaker also explains how good motherhood can be sustained and how to bake an apple pie.
Cameron’s speech is long on the good things of life but short on how they may be obtained.
Therefore, it is mostly pointless waffle. In fact it rather reminds me of the early sayings of your erstwhile leader, one Tony Blair!
Posted by: David_at_Home | September 03, 2008 at 16:55
It is very moving and beautifully put together. -- RDC
Are we already seeing our Samuel's talent shining through?
Posted by: Saltmaker | September 03, 2008 at 17:17
The way to discover if a speech is vaccuous waffle is to turn it around, and see if anyone could disagree with it. Let's try that, shall we?
Except, Leftie, what you actually went on to do was to take one line and turn that around. Has there been a single political speech, ever, where you couldn’t play the same little trick?
According to you, this was a speech that anybody could make. On that basis I tried reading it in Gay Crash Gordon’s voice. You should try the same. These are words you'll never hear from your Great Leader:
"Likewise, we must see what more scope there is to contract helicopters commercially to do some of the routine tasks, and free up helicopters for the frontline."
How about "We must not stoop to illiberalism, whether at Guantanamo Bay or by passing legislation for excessive periods of detention without trial."
Or "And let's be clear the EU does not need a new Treaty to work out an agreed policy on Russia..."
It does tell us something about him, though. I think using the language of the market to describe democracy is particularly telling - democracy as a product, indeed.
What part of the speech are you referring to?
Posted by: Saltmaker | September 03, 2008 at 17:45
This is meaningless waffle. All warm words but nothing really tangible.
Posted by: Umbrella man | September 03, 2008 at 18:30
Andrew Lilico posts a reaction at CentreRight.com.
Posted by: Tim Montgomerie | September 03, 2008 at 19:42
Lancelot,
Would you care to elaborate on those "minority foreign interests" from which a donation may be forthcoming?
I think I can guess and I think your comment should be deleted.
Posted by: burma toad | September 03, 2008 at 20:32
Excellent post Lancelot. I agree with every word. Keep up the good work.
burma toad, do you think the editors of this site are going to censor free speech at the suggestion of someone who doesn't have the self-belief to sign his little comment or even to make an overt accusation?
Posted by: Henry Mayhew - ukipper | September 03, 2008 at 21:55
I had hoped he might to be friends with most countries but here he is picking enemies before he's even started.
Posted by: Lancelot | September 03, 2008 at 14:51
This is meaningless waffle. All warm words but nothing really tangible.
Posted by: Umbrella man | September 03, 2008 at 18:30
One problem with people posting is that they seem desparate to critisize
Cameron, whatever he said. These people are so desparate they use meaningless words like "waffle" and can't even agree about what they are critisizing. It must have been a really good speech to bring this lot out.
Posted by: David Sergeant | September 03, 2008 at 22:18
The way to discover if a speech is vaccuous waffle is to turn it around, and see if anyone could disagree with it. Let's try that, shall we?
Except, Leftie, what you actually went on to do was to take one line and turn that around. Has there been a single political speech, ever, where you couldn’t play the same little trick?
Saltmaker, I think you have a point. It is a typical politician's ploy.
And, to be fair, privatising part of the services is a definite commitment which I had overlooked, and is polictically aligned. Just look at the success of private military contractors in Iraq.
Posted by: Passing Leftie | September 03, 2008 at 22:36
Its worse than u think:
New Islamic Terror Threat Post Georgia Russia conflict Predicted for Armenia in Nagorno-Karabach , and/or for ethnic Russians in Abkhazia and North or South Ossetian districts.
At:
“Visit to Baku by VP confirms counter response to Russia by ICG criminal syndicate”
http://www.julaybib.com/anomaly-briefs/2008/9/3/armitage-brzezinski-international-crisis-group-post-georgia.html
Posted by: jb | September 03, 2008 at 22:48