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Strewth!

Only 16%? Just shows how many are dependent on this discredited Government !

Only 16%? Just shows how many are dependent on this discredited Government !

I wonder if Ed Balls' reaction to these polls will be "so what?"

Higher taxes are unpopular! Think how far ahead we would be if we made case the for tax cuts and leaving the EU!

I am really cheered up to see, re the budget, people are no longer prepared to believe Labour any more without carefully looking at the small print. Boy this is progress.

Others + 3% to 14% then in "you gov " just behind LibDems.

The disparity between this and the 9% in ICM polls proves you shouldn't get too excited!

I know its not intentional but TFA Tory's comment made me laugh out loud!

These are impressive polls, I hadn't really expected a result like this. Hope it's not just a blip...

The Times have an article online.

'Think how far ahead we would be if we made case the for tax cuts and leaving the EU!'

Ugh, we flirted with that sort of 'populist' tax-cutting, anti-European rhetoric before, at least twice, and we were about 16 points behind during much of that period.

People's priorities are stability and competence - thankfully Mr Cameron (unlike some Tories.. I despair at how little they've learned) understands the concerns of real families, as opposed to political obsessives, in modern Britain.

As always, they are just polls, so we mustn't just think the job is done. And in all fairness, Cameron said exactly the same thing earlier on today. But 16%... damm...

These polls seem to be all over the place. Maybe a sign that people are chopping and changing from month to month? Nontheless any poll reading a 16% lead has to be good news!

The Yougov lead is astonishing, especially given Labour appear to have been making some sort of recovery over the last few weeks. 43/27/16 yields a majority of 118, according to UK Elect. I suspect that Labour's six-point shift may prove to be an exaggeration, but nevertheless, this is great news.

This sort of lead is reminiscent of leads shown in some Cameron/Brown polls taken before Tony Blair's departure. Maybe they weren't so fanciful after all...

Not good enough Cameron should have the party on at least 103% by now.

We should attack Labour more, he should also 'man up'

He definetely shouldn't let TV cameras into his home.

If we really want to kick on we should appoint Michael Fallon as Shadow Chancellor.

It seems that only MrB gets irony here!

You can never really tell if some comments on here are serious or not!

Anyway, it seems as if "Smithson's law" (or whatever you want to call it) is looking increasingly accurate. Mr Cameron has had a lot of press in the past week, and not all of it good, yet the poll ratings rise. It seems the more they see of Dave, the more the public like him. Exactly the opposite seems to be the case with Brown Balls and Darling.

When was the YouGov sample taken?

If post-Budget, that will have had an affect. And don't count out the small things - a number of my non-politically aligned friends have spoken about Ed Balls' behaviour in the chamber on Wednesday, and how - as Heffer rightly writes in the Telegraph - it highlights a massive and disgusting smug arrogance from one of the weakest Cabinets this country has ever had the misfortune to witness.

It would be nice if YouGov did some more London Mayor polls - they've been a bit thin on the ground.

If you had the right leader you would have been this far ahead ages ago! Not for me I’m, afraid, Cameron is a fraud! I've resigned from the party and until real Conservatism returns, I will stay that way..............from abroad!

"You can never really tell if some comments on here are serious or not!" No smilies or "emoticons" available here!

And I just love winding up the earnest, po-faced wets who mince around here posing as "modernisers".

These polls show that all the nonsense we get from this site about what does the party do next is complete rubbish. What it needs to do is to carry on exactly what it is doing at present.
It also shows that you don`t need tax cuts, little englander anti Europe and anti-immigration rantings to be popular.

A racing certainty is the party is only doing so well because Cameron is playing it sensibly and not pandering to the Little Englanders in the party. Well done David, you've done the country proud.

Take a bow Mr Balls
Mr Smith is right. Much has been made[and will be made] of his comments.

After his disgraceful behaviour over 'Auschwitz', it coudn't happen to a more deserving bloke.

That light of foot response from DC on the most difficult Parliamenatary outing of the year, was gold dust.
Mainly because the nerve it hit is not PR, its real.

From UK Polling Report:

The 16% Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have ever recorded and the largest any company has produced since October 1987. There are people old enough to vote who weren’t born the last time the Tories were this far ahead. If repeated at a general election it would produce a Conservative landslide majority of 122.

Independent words of wisdom from Anthony at UK Polling:

The 16% Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have ever recorded and the largest any company has produced since October 1987. There are people old enough to vote who weren’t born the last time the Tories were this far ahead. If repeated at a general election it would produce a Conservative landslide majority of 122.

It’s tempting to automatically assume that such a massive shift this must be a rogue poll. My guess is that it will indeed prove to be an outlier - the shift is just too large- but a second poll, this time from ICM in the News of the World, confirms a significant shift towards the Tories since the budget. ICM’s topline figures, with changes from their last poll, are CON 40%(+3), LAB 31%(-3), LDEM 20%(-1).

You beat me to it!

One thinks that if Labour were having a conference now, and had a large poll lead, the BBC would be all over it.

Even when the BBC does mention the Gateshead gathering, it's in the backwaters of Ceefax, which spends it's sole page given to it up to "The Tories are attempting to protect a shrinking poll lead."

Hmm...

Labour would NEVER fall to 27%. Freak Poll.....

Good news. Not only good leads, but interesting both show same trends, with support for us up 3 points, Labour's plummeting, and Calamity's Lib Dems getting nowhere.

The Times article (linked by Dave B 1839) says if the You Gov results were repeated at a gen election, we'd have a majority of around 120, and that Gordon Brown has now taken Labour to its lowest poll rating since 1983, when Michael Foot was the party’s leader.

But perhaps equally or even more noteworthy is that the article says "significantly" we are ahead on economic competence.

It adds that the poll also shows Alistair Darling’s budget has failed to go down well with voters. Maybe then TFA Tory is right that higher taxes are unpopular! It may well be the case that voters, feeling the pinch as prices for essentials are rising steeply, are feeling over-taxed.

It also shows that you don`t need tax cuts, little englander anti Europe and anti-immigration rantings to be popular.

Mmmmm. No but it does show that if the Government denies the people a referendum on Lisbon Treaty and produces a tax raising budget it doesn't help their poll ratings!



Labour just 3 % off their all time low.

I am so happy.

Hope!

As usual, Jack Stone throws around the typical wet Europhile smears.

I am no little Englander as I was not born here. I oppose the EU because it is undemocratic, unaccountable, bureaucratic, wasteful, fraudulent and corrupt.

I support tax cuts because I trust the people to spend their money better than the government which is no better, practically and morally, than a mafia protection racket.

Mmmmm. No but it does show that if the Government denies the people a referendum on Lisbon Treaty and produces a tax raising budget it doesn't help their poll ratings!"

No, no, no. Jack thinks that raising taxes and ramming through the Lisbon Treaty are popular policies. It's the voters who are wrong!

The YouGov gap may be stretched due to statistical error but the trend back to Labour's core tribal support is definitely there.

I will sleep well tonight.

Absolutely staggering but one word of caution - OUTLIER

I don't for a second believe we're really 16 points ahead (sadly), the 9 points is more viable, and still damn good news

David Cameron's recent performance, the budget response et al, have been encouraging - more of the same and some back-up from the rest of the front bench please

At this stage we should be at least 30% ahead. Pathetic!

Hic.

Sean Fear:

No, no, no. Jack thinks that raising taxes and ramming through the Lisbon Treaty are popular policies. It's the voters who are wrong!

So you mean Jack Stone IS Gordon Brown?

;o)

and that Gordon Brown has now taken Labour to its lowest poll rating since 1983, when Michael Foot was the party’s leader.
I don't pay much attention to opinion polls, they tend to record peoples emotional reactions rather than a decision in the secret ballot that occurs in elections - usually a winning government sees it's opinion poll showing go up and opposition support go down - this is almost always heralded by the press as being somehow significant, then in mid-term frequently governments have difficulties and this is always heralded as being disastrous for them.

So far as the 27% rating being Labour's lowest since 1983, actually I do recall that in 1984/85 during The Miners Strike, Labour support was shown regularily at around 25%. Quite probably that was exaggerated a bit, the 50-62% showings that Labour was getting in much of the 1990s were clearly also sizeably exagerating things - as were the 50%+ ratings for the Conservatives in 1988 and showings for the Conservatives under 26% at any time.

Local Elections and European Elections aren't much better as an indicator - Labour in 1983 got 35% in the Local Elections and 27.5% in the General Election. In 1989 Labour got 42% in the European Elections and in 1992 34.4% in the General Election. If you take 1999 Labour got 28% in the European Elections and 40.5% in the following General Election, in 2004 Labour got 22% in the European Election and 35.3% in the General Election in 2005.

1986 was a bad year in elections for the Conservative Party, 1987 however saw the Conservative vote increased on 1983.

I have long thought of YouGov as the most accurate pollster! Let's see what their next poll says before jumping to conclusions on this one!

The spirited and decisive leadership of New Boy Clegg is certainly paying off!! (Presume these polls took place after the Commons Vote)

"At this stage we should be at least 30% ahead. Pathetic!"

I disagree. At this point we should at the very least be 245% ahead. We just need to appoint Simon Heffer as Party Leader, and Nigel Farage as Shadow Chancellor.

On a more serious note, this truly is a great poll. We have seen several polls where the Tories achieved 41-43%, but I think this is the first in a long time where Labours support have dropped below 30%.

I have long had my doubts about YouGov and its wild swings.

9% ICM is, of course, fantastic.

Great news.

FREE TIBET ! STOP CHINESE GENOCIDE !

Wake up to reality, all politicians are now considered a bunch of crooks and do you know what...I agree

Following on from comments about the BBC, Sky news is reporting they are hopping mad about the ITV slot. They [SKY] are taking a more reasonable line. Judge for yourself.

'Of course, the family theme in Gateshead was preceded by the hoo-hah over the Tory leader allowing cameras from ITV into his home. The BBC were so cross, apparently, that someone recorded Cameron rehearsing his speech in the hall on Friday evening, with a view to broadcasting it on the Today programme. There was a huge row between the Beeb and Tory spin doctors, by all accounts.

All a bit silly. I can't see what all the fuss is about. I agree with Cameron that inviting the cameras into his home was "modern politics". But I'm sure there will be plenty who disagree.'

Thank you Sky.

Dear BBC
Suck it up chaps. You have been Labour's lap dog for so long, you have ground to make up.
Did you think they would be the only story in town for ever?
Did you think Andrew Marr would always have the ear [no pun intended] of the PM and that was all that mattered?
You are as arrogant in your assumption of right to supremacy as this Govt. The TV equivalent of Ed Balls.
You want trust. Earn it.
The priviledge of the licence fee that protects us from the 'dumbing down of the national broadcaster for populist purposes' bought us Jade Goody on the budget report this week.
You want trust? Earn it.
Credibilty gap? Whose fault is that?

Rant over.


Very interesting poll. It might be a bit of an outlier but the trend looks right. We are getting very good response rates from surveys and more people ringing up than normal offering help and saying they are switching to us.

Hold the phone, Northernhousewife. The BBC were essentially threatening to broadcast a recording of Cameron rehearsing a speech - which presumably would be less impressive and rough around the edges - because they were annoyed ITV got an exclusive? Or are Sky suggesting the BBC higher-ups just didn't like what he did and said?

In either case, when you've got a state-run broadcast threatening a political party, that's something to be worried about.

National Insurance has been increased for people earning over £34,840 - because one now has to pay it up to £40,040. This means a 9/11 pence increase in tax for each £ over that range.

This is probably well known to some, but to many will be a nasty bit of small print for those who are above average, but not that much above and already struggling with rising costs and taxes elsewhere.

Good on yer Northernhousewife @ 22.44, I am with you all the way, you put all your points very succinctly, I woul dhave left out 'Rant over' - too polite, they don't deserve it!!

I can't help thinking that those who say we should be 30%, 40%, 50% + ahead in the polls are sitting in the Conservative heartlands (or should be Conservative areas, like Finchley etc) where of course such an alalysis would make sense.

The fact is, we have become seen as the enemy, a sinister, untrustworthy clique who are not to be trusted and who only care about the rich, in many sections of our country. I don't believe this, you don't believe this, our policies and records disprove this, but in substantial areas of Scotland, South Wales, England above the Wash-Severn line, in the working classes, minority groups and those generally struggling on in life, it often is the case....this is the reason why we are not in the same position as Labour was in the 90s; 0stensibly, Labour will always be seen as wanting to care, it is just a matter of how competent they are at it.

The only way to combat this trend is to focus on grass roots action in these above mentioned areas, rebuild our crumbling associations here too, speak more to these parts of the country and talk more about being a '0ne Nation Party' ....we must not forget that our election system does not reward most to the party with the biggest lead, but the party with the most distributed support.

National Insurance has been increased for people earning over £34,840 - because one now has to pay it up to £40,040.
Really given that Earnings related variations in contributory benefits have all gone (abolished in Unemployment Benefit by the Conservatives in 1980 and in the State Pension by Labour a few years ago), really NI Contributions should go back to being a fixed rate stamp - which people have to pay the same amount regardless of income if they want to be covered, but don't need to pay any more. Or there should be earnings related additions to benefits, it has to be said though that the trend of increasingly using National Insurance to fund universal healthcare and extending upper limits and raising the proportion of earnings reduced did start in the 1980s and Labour have simply continued where the Conservatives left off - National Insurance over 38 years has been used as a Stealth Tax so that governments can claim to have cut taxes on Income and most people have little faith in any of the three main parties that whichever is in power will make much difference on this issue whatever they say in opposition, so I doubt that this has been much of a surprise to or indeed changed the voting intentions of many people.

The change in alcohol duties though certainly was a very dramatic volte face and will have had quite a substantial effect on voting intention.

It seems if you raise taxes on alcohol the public get angry how pathetic. Grow up Public. Alcohol taxes are far too low. It causes mayhem in society. What kind of moron decides to swtich their vote because a government puts up taxes on drink. Drunken yobs.

I'm apsolutely thriled with these polls. Tory support relies to much on gimicks and headlines. We lib dems are on a roll. Even when the Tories are doing well, we have avoided being crushed like we were in October. Our momentum is stupendous under fabulous Nick Clegg. We are going to cross over both Tories and Labour, and win the general election.

The rise in alcohol duties was purely to raise extra revenue, why though should law abiding citizens be penalised for the behaviour of a minority, you might as well levy duties on baseball bats or mobile phones because they get used in anti-social behaviour in some cases.

The rise in duties will hit the Scottish Whisky Industry badly, will encourage Black Market sales and people loading up in Calais and so avoiding UK duties, it will also result in more home drinking because fewer people will be able to afford the huge prices charged in pubs and restaurants for alcohol and of course the rise is inflationary.

Where people are causing trouble, whether under the influence of drugs and alcohol or not then that is a police matter - no reason to blame the drink, blame the people, if they can't handle the drink then they have the choice of not doing it or of vigorous action including use of force being taken against them!

what is wrong with YouGov? Such a wild swing is utterly beyond any gut instinct of reasonableness. I didn't believe the ludicrous polls they produced in the Brown honeymoon and don't buy this. Smithson did refer to the firm's "exaggeration effect".

And the only way for Labour from here is up, and Tories down, with accompanying comments from the usual suspects about Cameron changing the course that's producing these leads. Whilst I strongly doubt 16%, the icm is much more reasonable and we should all be highly encouraged with 9%. Put YG down for that.

Whatever the true figure, we're doing very well and Cameron ought to be congratulated.

It doesn't matter which poll numbers we support,what matters is that we are well in front,and we need to increase our lead steadily over the coming weeks and months until we have passed the local elections,passed the EU elections are on a roll into the General Election campaign period.In short,we must up our game and keep our momentum going forward from this point on.
Nobody can stop us if we do it this way,nobody at all.

Does anyone know scientifically whether a series of 'good' polls influences future results?

I wonder whether many voters might lean towards Party X, but hesitate to commit because 'they'll never win'. When winning becomes at the very least a distinct possibility, the 'leaning' voter may be more willing to commit.

As a London activist, I've had a quite a few voters ask me if Boris has a chance - when I reply that the polls are looking that way, the response is encouraging.

I think Tim Fell is on to something important. We should focus more on the North. There are plenty of voters in the Labour heartlands that doesn't like New Labour or Gordon Brown especially much, but they keep voting for them, as they don't trust the Tories.
It should not be an impossible task, considering that the Conservative Party had MPs in York, Newcastle and Manchester during the 60s and 70s, and that the 1980s are long gone.

I think these polls have Labour rather too low actually - that doesn't mean the polls are wrong, but they are picking up a short term reaction.

Nevertheless, the faltering in the Tory lead we have seen in several polls from early 2008 seems to have been largely corrected, and that is encouraging.

I think they have sharpened up their attacking lines better, but we have some unused talent on the back-benches which we need to bring in if we are to do better still.
Nadine Dorres, Michael Fallon, promotion for Dominic Grieve, and so on.

I think Caroline Spelman is good, but needs to be seen more putting our case.

I hate these people who say that we let Labour get away with it so long because we appeared to be mad.

The problem in fact was that we weren't nearly mad enough. Our half-hearted insanity wasn't convincing enough to get out the mad vote, which instead stayed at home gibbering to itself.

It is surely not too late to get rid of David Cameron and replace him with someone who's well and truly barking.

That way we can wheel out the mad policies in plenty good time before the election instead of at the last moment, and then go on and on saying mad things until everyone finally gets the message.

It's not good enough simply having a tree as a party logo, we have to convince the world that we are out of it too.

THIS IS DISGRACE. THE PEOPLE SEEM ONMLY INTERESTED IBN GETTING CHEAP BOOZE. NOT CHILD POVERTY. SO MUCH FOR THE BRITTISH PUBLIC
I have one comment to say to the British public espcially Londonders
BOOOO ZE.

Ugh, we flirted with that sort of 'populist' tax-cutting, anti-European rhetoric before, at least twice

I wish people wouldn't keep spouting this sort of rubbish, which has been repeatedly dealt with before around here.

Let's repeat the truth: the Conservative Party has never offered the people of this country any significant reduction either in the size of the State, or in the reduction of EU power.

The tories elitist wealthy types want tax cuts so the poor have no public services for them. Grow up extreme right wing tories. The people need a good NHS, and educaion services, that costs money. Mamy be the welaqthy eleites do not want to pay that? We need higher taxes on the rich not lower taxes. Also we do need to leave Europe. The EU is needed to protect Europe.

I think I'm getting a nose bleed

Are we British overtaxed? Yes. Does this Government abuse a lot of the money it takes in tax? Yes. Are the poorest getting poorer in spite of supposed redistribution through Gordon's tax system? Yes!
Should the Tories promise to sort out the waste, misspending and overtaxation? Yes!!
If we don't promise to be different from Labour - and mean it - why should people vote for us?

The party is - of course - cock a’hoop having at last attained a double-digit lead over Labour. But they should beware; this leap is not in popularity for the party so much as disgust by former Labour supporters to the spectacle that is presented to them of a government which is not in control but where events are proving overwhelming.

So the Tory lead is born of weakened Labour and not of popular Conservatism . Averaging the 2 polls makes a Tory figure of 41.5% (not especially buoyant) while Labour are on 29%. It is this latter figure which has changed and is the lowest figure for Labour for a very, very long time.

These two polls show disillusionment with Labour but remarkably little enthusiasm for Conservatives.

Why have the Tories not benefited more? I suggest that it is because of a feeble and misdirected response to a changed world. There is absolutely nothing inspiring to vote FOR - no vision - no theme - no understanding that the world is not the same one we all faced a month ago.

"So the Tory lead is born of weakened Labour and not of popular Conservatism. "

We might have different standards, but I would say that 40-43% is a considerable improvement from where we stood most of the time from 1995 to 2005. With 43% we might even win an Election.

The people need a good NHS, and educaion services, that costs money.

Nobody disputes that. We do object, however, to paying the money and not getting a good health care or education.

Mamy be the welaqthy eleites do not want to pay that?

It's not the "wealthy elites" - it's almost everybody, paying till we bleed not to support teachers or nurses or doctors but pen-pushers and paper-shufflers who exist only to swell the Labour vote and make our lives miserable.

The "wealthy elites" today are not the capitalists of your imagination - they're the bureaucrats and politicians, leeching off the State, off our taxes.

We need higher taxes on the rich not lower taxes.

Don't you get it? There aren't enough "rich" to make a difference, even if you shot them all and confiscated everything they own.

Also we do need to leave Europe. The EU is needed to protect Europe.

Europe needs to be protected from the EU, more like.

I think the Tory lead is in large part due to the fact that Brown and Darling appear like rabbits in the headlights when it comes to the REAL cost of living that we are all experiencing and the economic firestorm that we are just begining to see.

Cameron, to his credit has been asking some very awkward questions of Labour ie' 'what do you intend to do?' without getting any kind of answer.

Word of advice to Tory Central Office - stop making spending promises. The world will look very different at the next election.

Being 16 points ahead is finally getting to the point where the Conservatives should have been for ages . ie dominating .
One might almost say " so what ?"

The next election target is May 1st for England and Wales and May 3rd for Scotland . They will effectively be a plebiscite on Labour's popularity in all three countries . Absolutely esential to tread carefully between now and then . They must be dreading it.

Also absolutely essential to build and consolidate on the lead and make it part of the scenery. The waspish and disdainful remarks above from some rigid old stagers about the lack of political rights in England -ie no parliament- are evidence of how far the party has to go to consolidate that lead .

The Conservatives now need to show that they are alert to the condition of England (as apart from "Britain") and that they will move for a new political settlement for the United Kingdom which includes a federal arrangement and country parliaments and governments . This will go far towards extending the political process to those many parts of England ie most of it which have been excluded from power for so long .

An excellent place to have started would have been Northern England .


May 3rd in Scotland?

(fully behind you on the federal assemblies matter btw!)

Has anyone seen the Mirror, page 2. They interpret these polls as "Cameron - election poll blow"!

It's apparently based a fall in Cameron's appeal among women.

Buckinghamshire [email protected] 40-43% is better trhan the routs the party has experienced but not enough generally to give a working majority. Given the performance of Labour of course the Tories are ahead but NOIT for positive reasons. The figures are quite clear p- people are deserting Labour but they still find little to vote FOR in the Tories.

I'm favourably inclined to vote Tory but what for ??? At present it doesn't seem worth bothering.

Cameron won't wake up to reality and get a theme to vote for. Everyone can produce an umbrella slogan for the policies he HAS announced - my favourite is "Britain's broken! We can Mend it ! - Vote -----!

In any event it's a damn saight better than the ghastly "You can have it if you want it" [or some suchlike] which sounds like an advert to MPs for the John Lewis website.

"Has anyone seen the Mirror, page 2. They interpret these polls as "Cameron - election poll blow"!
It's apparently based a fall in Cameron's appeal among women."

I never read the Daily Mirror.

Christina Speight:

“40-43% is better than the routs the party has experienced but not enough generally to give a working majority.”

I’m not sure that is correct. Margaret Thatcher rarely achieved more than 42-43%, even in the landslide victories of 1983 and 1987. 40% might not be good enough, especially if Labour can achieve 34-36%. However, that is very unlikely. 43% would probably give us a workable majority.

“I'm favourably inclined to vote Tory but what for ??? At present it doesn't seem worth bothering.”

I don’t agree with everything the Party currently stands for. For example, I don’t appreciate how David Cameron have embraced the “green agenda”. However, I do beleive that the Conservative Party will be better for Britain than the current Labour government, even if it isn’t the Conservative Party of Margaret Thatcher.
If I stay home on election day (or vote UKIP or BNP), the only one who will benefit is Gordon Brown.

Votedave.
'I never read the Daily Mirror.'

Wise man.

Buckinghamshire Tory.

Another wise man.

COMMENT OVERWRITTEN.

Buckinghamshire [email protected] - Mrs T: got her majorities with the LibDems taking votes from Labour and letting in hosts of Tories on minority votes and with the electoral arithmetic in her favour. The arithmetic today is against the party -- heavily so.

As for voting to keep Brown out that presupposes that the present lot of Tories would be any better! Their economic policy seems to be based on mimicking whatever Labour has done to wreck the economy and doing the same. There is no vision and they are defying the public's wishes over the EU (according to every poll). So what's it matter who wins? There's nothing in the party today to vote FOR.

Although reading the YouGov poll yesterday cheered me no end as a mere voter - I agree with Christina Speight it is a reaction to the budget, with some spill over from other issues like the referendum. It is a vote against Labour and not so much for the conservatives.

But it doesn't have to stay that way. I do believe that if you can create a vision, and stand for something; then propose that we all work together to rebuild as a strategy - your country needs you; and work at the grass roots especially in the North as proposed by Tim Fell, then you can turn the lead into a positive one. There are still too many people who hate Labour, but are not comfortable with the Conservatives.

PS so you've landed a blow on the BBC - great stuff, that's almost as good as the poll. Probably why they started calling the Iran Government conservatives !

As always , predictable , everyone goes bonkers with a good poll , and says it,s ok , weighed properly . We are on the way etc. etc. etc.

last week a negative poll and oh , it,s weighed wrongly , they are always overegging Labour,s lead, I don't belive them ,etc etc, etc.

16% lead , I agree that it is about 6-9 % calm down everbody, we should be getting this figure everyweek not one every three months which then does prove a bit dodgy.

Remember there was a budget , last week !of course it,s going to have an effect on polls !

Miranda, those voters could just as easily go to the Lib Dems,they didn't.

I heard on the news that the Times poll was an Internet poll. Is this true?

Malcolm, if you wanted to get rid of this Labour Government you would not vote LibDem would you?? Do not kid yourself that this is a real heart felt vote for the Conservatives - yet: believe me. I'm working with your party in my local constituency to get Labour out, but that does not mean I have a passion for Conservatives or think you've got a real platform to stand on yet - I don't. And there are many life long Conservatives and party members who, like my mother, have torn up their membership cards in disgust. They would soon as cut their hand off as vote Labour or LibDem, but that does not mean that their Conservative vote is positive.

At last Cameron has hit the nail on the head and its paying dividends! Labour has been wasting billions, and taxpayers hate nothing more than seeing their money getting poured down the drain time and time again. If Cameron just keeps on this tack I can see a massive win for the Conservatives at the next election, Labour have no answer to this argument.

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