« Tories set for 256 gains? | Main | Nominations for Compassionate Conservative »

Comments

"Others" gain Harrow on Sky?!!

No a SOUND TORY GAIN hurrah

"Others" gain Harrow on Sky?!!

No a SOUND TORY GAIN hurrah

BBC Website is absolute rubbish. Harrow gained by "others"

I knew I'd been watching too much LOST when I saw the others had taken over Harrow. How long until we discover loads of weird stuff going on in the hatch( end)

CON GAIN Harrow!

What are the numbers in Harrow?

Does anybody know of a website where up to date results can be followed? BBC has crapped out and I'm stuck in New Zealand where we can only get "Sky News New Zealand"

Harrow has been gained by the Conservatives

what on earth has happened in bexley?

how did william do in the isle of dogs?

Bexley is a huge story, even bigger than Crawley. 24 extra seats, I'd say thats a pretty good mandate!

According to Nick Robinson, texting onto his blog, the lights have gone out in the whole of Westminster.

BBC are now saying NOC for Harrow? Is this true? We only needed a few extra seats there to get a majority!

BBC website saying Harrow Con Gain

Tories gain Winchester :D

Ok, BBC seems to be getting back up to speed after their powercut. Harrow is now being marked for Conservatives as is Winchester.

Have we got a net gains number from someone watching sky? Bleeding BBC doesn't even have their computers working!

Lewisham move to NOC looks like a big loss!

I think we've just won Hammersmith - the Labour guy is everything detestable about NuLab, he just stood parroting guff while Tory cheers in the background marked another stunning capital victory.

Labour have just lost control of LEWISHAM!!!

Lewisham looks like an absolute disaster zone for Labour.

Have we got a net gains number from someone watching sky? Bleeding BBC doesn't even have their computers working!

179 seats. 9 Councils.

Lewisham!? Strange night.

LibDems keep Sutton ... but they got huge losses! Hurrah!

Merton gone to NOC?

Conservatives gain Hillingdon!

Tories Gain Hillingdon. Gain 15, Labour lose 9 and Lib Dems 6. Majority of 25

It was clear hours ago that Con would gain Hillingdon.

BNP have gained 12 seats in Barking. There was a cockup when the results were read out that underestimated the BNP vote by 1000.

Damn we win 30 out of 60 seats in Merton - ONE seat short! There are 3 Residents, and 27 Labour, I guess the Residents will support the Tories, I can't see how Labour will be able to run Merton on a minority control.

We've just taken Hillingdon - which was of course where the force of nature known as Andrew Boff first came to prominence, wiping Labour out a few mere decades ago.

We gained 15 seats in Hillingdon! I'm starting to think it might be a dawn of "Tory London" again. And getting just a LITTLE nervous about our Victoria ward count tomorrow. Fortunately Keith's asleep.

The gain/losses counter on Sky has stuck at +199 for us, it must be way over 200 by now with the London boroughs coming in.

Hammersmith and Fulham (last Tory in 1968) has just come in :-0)

BBC has just been updated to 204 gain for CON. maybe 256 is the number in the end.

We're at 207 gains now!

We've taken EALING!!!

It's nice to be winning for once. I'd forgotten what it felt like.

taken ealing with 14 seats switching - this is pretty close to as good as it could be - and especially because the Lib Dems are going nowhere fast.

Don't think so. Ealing, Croydon and others not added to the total yet. Think that it will be closer to 300

We've got Hammeresmith and Fulham. What a GREAT result!!!!

JC: I know it's phantastic. The last time we won like this was in 2004...

Sky's psephologist - apologies, I don't know his name - is very good. Doesn't come across as partisan but he is being very good at not letting David Laws get away with nonsense about how this is a good night for LibDems.

Anthony King on the BBC ... I do like him, but I can't ever forget an article he wrote in the Telegraph in 1992, about how Britain no longer had "two major parties, but one big party and one super-party, the Conservatives" who sweep all from their path. So not the world's BEST predictor of short/medium term political fortunes :-0)

Sorry for mild over-excitement.

BBC still depserately trying to talk this up as a balanced night. Have turned off and relying on you lot to keep me posted.

"Think that it will be closer to 300"

Let's hope it's 299. Then I get the mug :D

Goodnight all, it's time I got some sleep.

I'm retiring now too, got to get up early as well eughhhhh

This is becoming wonderful. Even the BBC, which is still trying to pretend there is something good in this for everyone, is showing projected vote share as

Tory - 40%
LD - 26%
Lab - 27%

Does that remind anyone else of 1983? OK I know I'm about 560 of your earth years older than everyone else but it's beginning to look like the split-left vote we need.

Well, still no CON councillors in Oxford, Cambridge, Sheffield, Newcastle, Liverpool and Manchester. Certainly work remains to be done.

Libs lose Milton Keynes!!

They DO have better ear plugs - their studio suits always have some rubbishy result from somewhere ("we got 5 more votes in Liverpool") to rebutt the "you're being stuffed in London" headlines.

"Well, still no CON councillors in Oxford, Cambridge, Sheffield, Newcastle, Liverpool and Manchester. Certainly work remains to be done."

If the Tories can't win Crosby back in Liverpool then things are very worrying.

Anthony King's just pointed out that this is the best since 1992 for the Tories.

40%!!! That's all I wanted to hear. I'm going to sleep.

Graeme, I know you're very happy, but Michael Howard got 38% in 2004.

Goldie, yes work does need to be done, but to say this is not a huge step forward is being very churlish.

Heck, just seen that the BNP has won a seat in Redbridge. That is not funny.

Jon, I agree, this is a good night for Cameron. I'm a bit disappointed because I think that Cameron needs to be a little tougher, sharper and embrace the "And Theory of Conservatism" a bit more. But anyway, yes fairly good results, although after the LibDem scandals and the absolutely aweful weeks the Gov just had, I can't say it's spectacular. But it helps, I'm not trying to be churlish.

I take my suitably chastened happiness away to the kitchen to make a cup of tea. Yes more to do in the north. But the London results - I admit my bias - are better than anything I dared hope.

who's had the worst results, Lib Dems or Lab?

Conservative gains and Labour losses have both hit 220 according to Sky

I agree, and the nice thing about London is of course that's always where the Cons did most of their heavy lifting in '05, so it may be structural and that's good.

Off to bed now, and very happy. Over the moon about Labour losing control of Bury. Its been a long time coming!

Looking forward to wake up to news of more Conservative gains and a cabinet reshuffle.

Good night.

I've got to be at my own count at 9am, so I should probably retire soon.

Conservative gains and Labour losses now both top 230.

Well, certainly good results in London and environs, which is great.

More grit needed up North, but DC and his team should be pleased.

Great results.

40% is good.

These figures match closely the forecast made by One Big Vote on the internet just before the General Election. Labour were the third party level with Lib Dems at 23%, and Conservative were at 35% plus. Here we have the same pattern replicated. It is suspicious to my mind.

Now we see that the postal vote fraud at the general election (between 4-6 million votes depending on who you believe) probably enabled Labour to stay in power.

We are living in a banana republic as regards elections. We are a post-democracy. There has not been that much change in attitudes to Labour in one year to explain such a turnaround.

Who controls LondoN?

Mary Poppins

163 of 176 councils announced, Conservatives on a net gain of 250.


CH prediction based on "the wisdom of crowds" was spot on!

I don't believe it, Ming Campbell on BBC Breakfast, trying to say that the Lib Dems did better than the Tories because they had a few more seats in the North.

BBC presenter actually gave him a hard time about that, thank goodness.
"You were expecting 150+ seats... you only got 18, admit it, you were thumped!"

No mug for me then. I am very disappointed.

"I don't believe it, Ming Campbell on BBC Breakfast, trying to say that the Lib Dems did better than the Tories because they had a few more seats in the North."

Lib Dems are just Labour re-branded, so such results aren't suprising.

I think someone needs to tell Gordon Brown that a "warning shot" is a bit different from what the electorate just did.

Cameron went on Five Live earlier (I didnt plan on listening to patronising bs but theres no choice) and talking about how Hodge gave the BNP oxygen (he said they had things in common with the Nazis), thay the results are great and the Labour Cabinet doesnt need a reshuffle, it needs a replacement.

Another day, another soundbite. The results are great, no doubt about it. Particularly happy about Bexley, with close friends living there. I am concerned that Cameron will now drive even faster in changing its policies, with the justification that they got 40% of the vote. I think this result was more about kicking Labour rather than helping the Tories.

Sad news about James Cleverly's campaign to win the Lewisham Mayorship. Does anyone have the figures for the votes there? All I have is the result.

James, where is the Lewisham results? Where can they be found?

BBC website, on the map. Go to Lewisham Council results. It says (just above the table) that Steve Bullock (LAB) won it.

Lewisham Maoyral results
Lab Mayor Steve Bullock re-elected with 22,155 first preference votes, LibDem Chris Maines got 12,398, and James Cleverly got 10,790.

Thanks Sam.

Richmond Upon Thames goes LD from Tory, The Tories losing 16 seats and LD gaining 17!

A pity. James was a very good candidate.

Labour and the Tories must have got their predictions about right but on a smaller scale.

But the Libs must really be scratching their heads this morning. A terrible night for them.

Not a good LD night overall. MEP leader for the LDs resigns over comments made to a Jewish constituent!

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/4974808.stm


James Cleverly can focus on getting a winnable parliamentary seat now. good luck to him.

Hello ConHome,

Bit of a mixed bag here. Labour votes holding up well in some wards and faltering in others, and it is now clear that the Lewisham Lib Dems had Cowley St help and were targeting us hard.

They clearly thought that the second preference voting system could get them in and give them a good headline in Lewisham. It seems that a lot of the left of centre vote went looking for a new home and the Green and Lib Dems were the main recipients.

We picked up one extra seat, which was less than we had hoped, but stayed in contention in the Mayoralty.

I had a lot of positive feedback from members of the other parties, except the Lib Dem mayoral candidate Chris Maines, who blanked me completely. I was so hurt J

A 23 hour day yesterday will take its toll about 4pm today as I am back at work and there is a pile of emails and voicemails to get through.

Thank you to everyone who sent messages of support.

James
(no longer) Conservative Candidate for Mayor of Lewisham

Would be interested to know what happened in Richmond. Can anybody explain?

That aside, excellent results!

Well done for giving it your best. Thats all you can do. The people of Lewisham missed out on a fine candidate and its to their loss. Take it easy today James, youve earned it.

James

Well done flying the flag in Lewisham - have a restful weekend.

Bad luck James, well done for trying.

By the way, before I went to bed the Lib Dems were on a net loss of about 20 something councillors. Obviously their success in Richmond boosted them but they seem to have picked up even more seats somewhere so they have a net gain overall. Where else have they been more successful?

Commiserations James. I’m impressed that you even took on the challenge!

I’m normally sceptical of claims about biased-BBC but, throughout the night, their commentary of the Lib Dem results left me in awe. Their main piece on bbc.co.uk says that “Lib Dems failed to make much headway.” In percentage terms, that “headway” is a 2.5% increase in their seat-count. Imagine what the BBC would be saying about David Cameron’s leadership if, at this stage, we had only gained 33 seats (2.5%).

Lib Dems should be the natural beneficiary of a crumbling Labour vote but they’ve been out-performed by every other political party except UKIP. The BBC doesn’t seem very keen on reporting that story.

Don't work too hard today James!As you know little business is done on a Friday in this industry anyway!
Sorry to hear about Lewisham but even though it's probably no consolation at the moment I'm sure there will be other opportunities for you.

They took a number off of Labour here last night + 10 if my maths is right.

Sorry

"Sorry"

Not your fault. I expect it was left-wing protest voters. Although you undoubtedly known more about it than I do!

I’m normally sceptical of claims about biased-BBC but, throughout the night, their commentary of the Lib Dem results left me in awe. Their main piece on bbc.co.uk says that “Lib Dems failed to make much headway.” In percentage terms, that “headway” is a 2.5% increase in their seat-count. Imagine what the BBC would be saying about David Cameron’s leadership if, at this stage, we had only gained 33 seats (2.5%).

If the Tories had sacked an alcoholic leader a few months ago and appointed an uncharismatic 63-year-old as their leader, then gains 2.5% in the elections, I think they would be considered to have done well, but then the LibDems always over-perform at local level.

Does anyone know when the last thirteen councils will be announced?

I imagine we'll get more than 6 seats out of them, but we can always blame Steed for his -30 guess dragging it down a little :)

I want to see how close CH got it!

If we do better than CH's Wisdom of Crowds Prediction, does that mean that David Cameron can claim to have out-performed expectations and therefore vindicate his strategy?

Yes, Mark. : )

*waiting for howls of outrage*

"If we do better than CH's Wisdom of Crowds Prediction, does that mean that David Cameron can claim to have out-performed expectations and therefore vindicate his strategy?"

Unfortunately we have no way of knowing all the factors that led to Tory success. I have no doubt that Cameron had a positive impact. But Labour's bad week was probably a significant contribution as well.

Then there's the fact that the Tories did well in previous local elections but went on to a lose a GE.

I think more work needs to be done on working out an effective strategy to win in the North. Delighted though I am at our performance I do feel we needed to gain at least one seat in Manchester. Is Cameron's message going down well up there? It would be useful if local activists could tell us. It might be we have to give different emphasis to different issues in the North and South.

Good news about the Lib Dems - the Guardian was saying yesterday that if they failed to gain then questions might be open about the leadership. Although they might pick up a few seats in the yet to be declared northern councils where they're the natural anti-Labour protest vote for traditional Labour voters.

Any bloggers familiar with what went wrong in Richmond?That seems to be the only major stain on what has been a good night for us.I'd read that the council there had done well so what went wrong?

Here at PinkNews, our results from gay candidates are gradually coming in. First story live Gay councillor loses seat in “bizarre” campaign Labour accused of homophobia in Lambeth.

We're eagerly awaiting news from Hackney, the local authoirty for our Shoreditch office to hear news from the many gay candidates including Andrew Boff and popular Hackney Central new-Labour chap Alan Laing.

Lest my previous post be seen as too negative let me emphasise again that I am very pleased with our results and Cameron should be congratulated for taking us over 40%.

Hitting 40% of the vote means a vindication in his eyes, he said as much on the Radio. I am rather worried though. If the results justify his strategy now, does that mean hes going to go further with his proposed changes to policy, knowing that he has done better than any of the last 4 leaders in these equivalent elections? While I wanted the Party to acheive, I am worried its acheived too much and will give Cameron confidence to change the Party far beyond what it is now. I cant be the only one seriously worried about it...

Another jaw-dropping example of BBC bias was the reporter who said outside Manchester Town Hall that the Conservative performance in the north was a 'disaster'. Quite apart from depicting recent Tory leaders as apes and Neanderthals at various stages of evolutionary growth. When the coverage went off the air at 3 a.m. I could only assume it was divine retribution.

Damn! John Prescott hasn't been sacked!

The comments to this entry are closed.

#####here####

Categories

ConHome on Twitter

    follow me on Twitter

    Conservative blogs

    Today's public spending saving

    New on other blogs

    • Receive our daily email
      Enter your details below:
      Name:
      Email:
      Subscribe    
      Unsubscribe 

    • Tracker 2
    • Extreme Tracker