6 Aug 2012 08:28:27
By Peter Hoskin
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There’s much heat and fury about gambling at the moment, in the wake of a recent Commons report on the subject and today’s news that Brits are losing over £1 billion a year to slot machines. In response, Harriet Harman has said that New Labour erred by having a liberal attitude towards gambling regulations. The Daily Mail is warning the Coalition against the same, and urging them to cut out this “social cancer”.
In truth, gambling tends to be a difficult issue for Conservatives, as it cuts across two strains of thought in the party. There are those who feel it should be controlled, as it entrenches the social problems that surround debt and poverty. And there are those who take the more free market view that supply ought to aspire to demand, and the state has no place to intrude. It is this fundamental tension that confuses so much of David Cameron’s own “responsibility” agenda. He wants people to be responsible, but he doesn’t want to order them to be responsible.
Continue reading "Expect a nudge or two when it comes to gambling" »
2 Apr 2010 12:53:44
This time last week I highlighted the fact that while the polls were suggesting that a hung parliament was on the cards, the bookmakers were still expecting a Conservative overall majority in the Commons.
Ladbrokes have just released their weekly prediction, based on the betting in seats across the country and they are broadly the same as last week (when they predicted a Conservative majority of 12):
Conservatives - 329 seats
Labour - 222 seats
Lib Dems - 63 seats
That would translate into a Conservative majority of 8 seats in the Commons.
Ladbrokes' figures have also been factored into the Times online coverage of the election, with this section of the paper's comprehensive election website showing a map with details of the bookies' expectations for every single constituency.
However, the map on the website as of now does not tally with the numbers above, with Labour up to 233 seats and the Lib Dems dwon to 56 seats. I will try and establish which numbers are more up to date. Ladbrokes' spokesman tells me that the figures above (329/222/63) are the most up to date numbers.
Jonathan Isaby
26 Mar 2010 17:18:43
The opinion polls being published day after day at the moment are all suggesting a universal national swing which would result in a hung parliament if reproduced at the general election.
Activists I speak to in the key marginals are more bullish about the Conservative prospects and interestingly enough, the bookies agree with them.
Bookmaker Ladbrokes is running a book on every single seat in the country and based on its expectations across the country it is predicting the following result:
Conservatives - 331 seats
Labour - 221 seats
Lib Dems - 63 seats
That would translate into a Conservative majority of 12 seats.
Ladbrokes will be publishing their prediction based on this measure every Friday until polling day.
Jonathan Isaby
25 Jan 2010 17:51:37
Interesting that Rory Stewart is at number five in this Ladbrokes list. He's obviously become a media darling very quickly.
That I'm at 37 suggests the list might be a little crazy! I'm glad to be sat alongside Iain Dale.
- William Hague 5/1
- Boris Johnson 5/1
- George Osborne 5/1
- Michael Gove 16/1
- Rory Stewart 16/1
- Liam Fox 20/1
- Nick Herbert 20/1
- Jeremy Hunt 20/1
- Edward Vaizey 33/1
- Daniel Hannan 33/1
- Chris Grayling 40/1
- David Davis 50/1
- Andrew Lansley 50/1
- Andrew Mitchell 50/1
- Phillip Hammond 50/1
- Theresa May 50/1
- Justine Greening 50/1
- Jesse Norman 50/1
- Alan Duncan 66/1
- Zac Goldsmith 66/1
- Caroline Spelman 100/1
- Ken Clarke 100/1
- Malcom Rifkind 100/1
- David Willetts 100/1
- Oliver Letwin 100/1
- Francis Maude 100/1
- Michael Portillo 100/1
- John Redwood 100/1
- Iain Duncan Smith 100/1
- Dominic Grieve 100/1
- Damian Green 100/1
- Shaun Bailey 100/1
- Chloe Smith 100/1
- Sir George Young 100/1
- Andrew Feldman 200/1
- John Bercow 200/1
- Tim Montgomerie 200/1
- Iain Dale 200/1
- Nadine Dorris 200/1
Tim Montgomerie