On the actual AV ballot paper question, the No campaign gains a poll lead for the first time

by Paul Goodman

The last time I wrote about a ComRes opinion poll on AV it was to report that "Yes" had extended its lead.

This evening, the firm finds a "No" lead for the first time.  It says this is the first time a poll has found a "No" lead in relation to the acutal question that will be on the referendum ballot paper.  Here are the figures -

        Jan   Feb   Now

Yes  36%  40%  34%

No   30%  30%  37%

DK   34%  30%  28%

ComRes's figures are adjusted to take into account certainty to vote.   The firm adds that the smallest Yes in lead to date - two points - was reported by ICM on 20 February.

We're still a long way from May 5.  I repeat what I said last time: all to play for.