Conservatives slip below 40% in two polls

Tim Montgomerie

Some signs overnight that the Coalition honeymoon may be coming to an end. A YouGov poll had Labour 5% ahead of the Conservatives and a new Ipsos-MORI poll, just published, has the Conservatives trailing by 3%.

The exact numbers are:

• Ipsos-MORI: Conservatives 36% (-3%), Labour 39% (+3%), LibDems 14% (unchanged).
• YouGov: Con 37% (-3%), Labour 42% (unchanged), LibDems 10% (unchanged).

Overall net satisfaction with the Coalition is -10%, according to YouGov:

Ipsos-MORI finds even greater dissatisfaction with the Coalition (35% satisfied, 55% dissatisfied).

I've argued before that the Coalition should govern as if it didn't care about re-election. Although it should address vulnerabilities, I stand by that advice.