86% of Tory members prefer minority government to coalition

Since 7am this morning ConHome has been polling grassroots Tory members. I discussed the interim results on BBC1 at lunchtime. Here are the latest results:

Negotiations between Nick Clegg and David Cameron are now underway. I think a minority government is most likely - with co-operation on issues like civil liberties, the environment and localism - - but touring TV studios both John Major and William Hague said that David Cameron would accept Liberal Democrat members of the Cabinet. All "permutations" seem to be on the table.

Tim Montgomerie