Tory lead variously at 10%, 8%, 5% and 3% in tonight's four polls

The first two of at least fours polls tonight have just been published.

Angus Reid for Political Betting has the following numbers:

The fieldwork was done on Sunday and Monday and comparisons are with last Wednesday's AR poll.

Meanwhile there is a Populus poll for tomorrow's Times.

Again, comparison are from a week ago, and with the polling having been done yesterday and this morning, the impact of today's Conservative manifesto launch is yet to be felt.

10pm update:

Tomorrow's Independent carries a ComRes poll:

Breaking down the voting intention figures by geography, in the South East the Conservatives were on 35%, Labour on 30%, and Liberal Democrats on 22%, but in the crucial battleground area of the Midlands, the Conservatives are on 40%, Labour 28% and Liberal Democrats on 17%.

And tomorrow's YouGov for The Sun:

Jonathan Isaby