Whatever the polls say, the bookies still predict a Tory overall majority

The opinion polls being published day after day at the moment are all suggesting a universal national swing which would result in a hung parliament if reproduced at the general election.

Activists I speak to in the key marginals are more bullish about the Conservative prospects and interestingly enough, the bookies agree with them.

Bookmaker Ladbrokes is running a book on every single seat in the country and based on its expectations across the country it is predicting the following result:

Conservatives - 331 seats
Labour - 221 seats
Lib Dems - 63 seats

That would translate into a Conservative majority of 12 seats.

Ladbrokes will be publishing their prediction based on this measure every Friday until polling day.

Jonathan Isaby