Conservative Diary

« ConHome expects Osborne to cancel Labour's NI increase as part of pre-election promises | Main | Tory HQ plays down the significance of the re-engagement of M&C Saatchi »

New Ipsos Mori poll of key marginals still points to hung parliament

A new Ipsos Mori poll released today - in seats which will make the difference between a hung Parliament and an overall Conservative majority - suggest that we are still in hung parliament territory.

The poll, commissioned by Reuters, shows that 41% of those who say they are certain to vote would vote Labour compared to 37% who would vote Conservative.

This represents a 5% swing - better than the 4% swing suggested in Ipsos Mori's latest national poll, but would still not give the Conservatives an overall majority.

Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,007 adults across 56 marginal constituencies held by Labour in which the Conservatives need a swing of between 5% and 9% to gain the seat between Friday and Monday.

> The Ipsos Mori website has links to all the detailed data and charts.

Jonathan Isaby


You must be logged in using Intense Debate, Wordpress, Twitter or Facebook to comment.