ICM confirms trimming of Tory lead...
One other poll is expected this evening.
7.10pm: It's a YouGov poll:
The next key event in shaping voters' opinion will be Wednesday's pre-Budget report. Will Darling announce tough spending measures? Will he announce a windfall tax on bank profits? Will the public believe his promises? Can George Osborne match his outstanding performance from last year?
Tim Montgomerie
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