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Two new polls give the Conservatives a 14% lead

This morning's Sun carries a new YouGov poll which puts the parties on the following standings:

Conservatives - 42% (+2)
Labour - 28% (-)
Lib Dems - 19% (+1)

Comparisons are with last Sunday's YouGov poll for The People (rather than the daily tracker) and compute into a Conservative majority of 84 according to UK Polling Report's Swing Calculator.

Meanwhile, a BPIX poll for the Daily Mail puts the two main parties on exactly the same standings:

Conservatives - 42% (+2)
Labour - 28% (+3)
Lib Dems - 20% (-2)

UK Polling Report's Swing Calculator suggests those numbers translate into a Commons majority of 82.

The poll also suggests that the Conservative messages on raising the pension age, public sector pay and pensions have public sympathy - although it would seem that the attacks on the privileged background of David Cameron and George Osborne appear to have had some impact.

Click on the image below to enlarge.

Picture 17

Jonathan Isaby 


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