Support our 'No Turning Back On Democracy' campaign

The ’join the party’* page on the Conservative Party website describes the Conservative Party as "the most open and democratic British Party". Prospective members are also promised - "Being a member of the Conservative Party gives you a say in the running of the Party both locally and nationally, including a right to vote in the election of its leader".

All that may be about to change. A body of Tory MPs apparently thinks that the rank-and-file membership is too old and out-of-touch to be trusted to choose the next leader. Members, it seems, only exist to stuff envelopes, deliver leaflets and pay their subs. MPs want the decision to elect the next leader back under their control.

But as argued in Part I of this website's new Manifesto for a 44% Conservative Party the MPs have their own unhelpful biases. They tend to prefer a leader - like Michael Howard - who is good at Westminster's yah-boo and confrontational style of politics - but not so good at appealing to floating voters. They, in their infinite wisdom, replaced the "hapless" IDS with the "competent" Michael Howard and saw the party's opinion poll rating DECLINE. Some members remember The Regicide of November 1990 and the way that that has poisoned the Conservative parliamentary party's relationship with every successive leader. In terms of gender balance, professional breadth and regional background Tory MPs are also less representative than the admittedly aged grassroots membership.

The Conservative Party should not be narrowing the group of people that decides its leadership. It should be finding ways of broadening participation. A US-style primary election might be one such way.

NO TURNING BACK ON DEMOCRACY CAMPAIGN

conservativehome.com is exploring the creation of a campaign team to (a) defend members' right to elect the next Tory leader and (b) the possibility of involving floating voters in, at least, informing the process in some direct way. If you would like to be part of this process please email us here.

Also please take a look at conservativehome's new Tory leadership newsblog*.

Comments

[Jason Hughes]

Sir-

I think the comments on this site, in regards to the debate over members voting rights in leadership elections are out of balance. I have combated the disrespect and contempt that Central Office and rare elements of the parliamentary party shown to us the activists and volunteers. We are the lifeblood of the party, and they should not forget it.

But as a Conservative student of nineteen years of age, and Co-Chair of a University Conservative Association I personally think that our Parliamentary Party are the best qualified to make such an important decision for the future of the Conservative and Unionist Party.

The Rt Hon Ian Duncan-Smith MP was the members' choice for leadership, and rightly or wrongly he proved to be an unsuccessful leader of the party. Indeed, the rest is history.

In the aftermath of a quasi-successful general election campaign which our current leader has described as a sign of recovery for the party, we need to allocate the decision making responsibility to our parliamentary party because they are best attuned to the rigours of making such a key electoral decision. Their bread and butter is the art of electioneering - and we need to respect that.

It is likely that the Rt Hon David Davis MP [a parliamentarian that I admire very much with impeccable politics] is the grassroots favourite for the party leadership, but I think that that would not be in the party's best interests. But he would prove divisive, I think. We need a unity candidate, and that may not tally with grassroots favourites.

I am not pandering to our esteemed representatives, indeed I am highly critical of them often, as I am with the useless 'Central Office', but this is a responsibility I readily allocate to them. I am sick of patronising central body elites looking down their noses at local associations, and the hard-working volunteers who make up the majority of our noble party. Our party needs unity now, we can be a party of government, but we need to play the game.

The back-stabbing must stop, and sometimes pride needs to be swallowed. We are the party of Benjamin Disraeli, Sir Winston Churchill and Baroness Thatcher - dare we squander that prestige? Dare we draw a line under such a great history? Lord Beaconsfield would turn in his grave if he saw us now. Sir Winston would frown and Baroness Thatcher has aired her discontent.

Please, let us become the unstoppable political force that we once were, to take our country back and to make it great again. These little peaks and troughs will obscure our core values if we allow them to continue, and will keep us out of office forever.

Your obedient servant,

Jason Hughes

[Editor]

Thank you, Jason, for your comments.

I am still unpersuaded that MPs are best placed to judge who would be the next Tory leader and I offer these questions by way of further argument:

> When was the last time that any ruling elite decided to remove voting powers from a larger body of people? I can't think of an example this side of 1989 and this side of the Iron Curtain.

> Wasn’t the Conservative Party at its best when the right to go on strike was taken away from union barons and given to rank-and-file workers?

> Didn’t the MPs’ 1990 unseating of Mrs Thatcher inject the ‘leadership poison’ into the party’s bloodstream? Every subsequent leader has been undermined by the MPs’ ‘Messiah complex’. If the MPs are given more power won’t every future leader be subject to constant speculation of a coup? Party members have demonstrated more willingness to stick to a strategic course.

We should be broadening - not narrowing - the election process. That's why I favour the creative involvement of non-party members in the election process.

[David Cage]

Rt Hon Ian Duncan-Smith MP connot be claimed to be an unsuccessful leader of the party as he was never allowed to lead it into an alection. The method of his overthrow was such that I had severe reservations about voting Conservative but in the event did. Regrettably we still got a labour MP in Swindon North and I wonder how many floating voters chose the opposite decision.

[Steve Boorman]

I feel it would be grossly unfair to remove the vote from party members.I am not a political animal....just an ordinary bloke who supports the views of the party.I think it would be easy to just change the current rules around to give all members a fair vote.Offer the members of the party an initial list of prospective leaders.Allow one member...one vote....and forward the top 2 names to the MP's to select a leader.Problems in the past have arisen due to "the least worst option" being offered to party members after the cull of MPs.This system would allow us all to participate in a democratic party.

[Derek Buxton]

Re Jason, the Conservative Party is divided anyway and shows no sign of changing. Take away the supporters involvment and then run a campaign like this last one and it will be "goodnight,will the last one out turn off the lights".
Had the EU figured more prominently by explaining what is happening, UKIP would have been neutralized and we would be some small way towards regaining our Country. It does not belong to an elitist group of politicians.

[pauline buffham]

While the Conservative MPs see and work with the party leader on a day to day basis at Westminster, I feel that the ordinary supporter should have a say in any leadership contest,perhaps through an ElectoralCollege system. This forum should also include overseas members of the party who can bring a wider perspective to things.

For too long we in the voluntary party have been the "poor bloody infantry" OK for leafleting,door knocking, fund raising, and keeping the Blue flag flying in town and county halls...it should be remembered that many County Halls returned to Conservative control in May 1997 and have remained so (I write as an ex District and County Councillor) but if certain people are to be believed we are not to be trusted with decisions on the leadership

I hope the contest will not be immediate but in the next few months...the Conference would be an ideal opportunity for the public to be introduced to the potential leadership contenders.

I am terrified that the media especially the BBC will concentrate on "Tory splits" whilst ignoring the Civil War that is about the break out in the Labour Party, thus giving Bliar (not a typo!) an easy ride.He has already brought back two discredited former ministers(Blunkett and Hughes) as well as appointing a Crony (Adonis) to the Lords in order to give him a ministerial post. It stinks...and attacking these people and bringing the to account is what is important.

[Peter Berrow]

What about one ballot of MPs with any candidate getting more than 15% of the MPs support going through to a perference ballot of party members. The exception being if one candidate gets more than 50% of the MPs vote no ballot of members is done. This would have given us three choices in both 1997 and 2001 and up to five at best.

[Alfred Kenyon]

The manifeto is brilliant. I was so disgusted, I nearly voted for the local Christian Alliance candidate!However, the new leader must be elected by the MPs. It is no good blaming them for picking Michael Howard. A few months before a General Election, they needed an instant consensus candidate. They had no real choice. MPs have every incentive to listen to their voters: their seats are on the line! We local party stalwarts are too set in our ways.

[David Harvey]

With rare exceptions much of this blog has been Tories talking about Tories, which is indicative of the psyche that makes it so difficult for us to build the big tent that Conservatism needs if it is to get to the magic 44%. It has to be right to extend the franchise so that not only MPs but Party members too must listen to the views of registered conservative voters through an inclusive primary system. Voters don't want to see empty rhetoric stating that "we have changed", they want to feel that we are going to help to build a future for them and their families that they identify with, letting they help choose our leader would be a first gesture.

[James Hellyer]

I think any attempt to disenfranchise the party membership is wholly wrong. The justification used is spurious at best.

The selection of IDS seems to be used as the main rationale for change. This ignores several factors. His leadership was not a failure. He polled higher than Michael Howard did, for example.

Where he did fail was in securing the confidence of the parliamentary party (who really do seem incapable of loyalty at times).

The current move is merely an attempt to make sure the MPs get the candidate they want. The problem with this is that the attributes they seek (that Hague and Howard had) don't necessarily play well outside the chamber.

Really their complaint is that when given an unacceptable (maverick europhile) candidate and an unknown (eurosceptic) candidate, the members chose the unknown. Frankly that's the MPs fault for putting forward that choice. If they weren't going to happy with IDS, perhpas they should have backed someone else when they had the chance.

It seems to me that obvious solution is to reverse the Hague election process. Flip the system, so the Party members choose the shortlist of two candidates, who are then voted on by MPs.

That way the winning candidate has backing of either a substantial minority of members and a majority of MPs or a majortiy of members and MPs. The successful candidate would certainly have a mandate.

[Editor]

James,

I agree with almost everything you say but don't like your recommendation in the final two paragraphs.

I fear that such a process could mean that MPs choose someone the party in the country didn't much like. Imagine, for example, 65% of the country voting for David Davis, 35% voting for Rifkind and then the parliamentarians installing Sir Malcolm. It would be a recipe for a lot of unhappiness.

We either need what we've got now (plus involvement of non-party members in some sort of primary) - or, much less desirable and much less democratic, an electoral college.

[Simon C]

The problem with the last selection was that MPs were split 3 ways, between Clark Portillo & IDS - collectively they couldn't make their mind up. It hardly behoves them then to say that the party membership made the wrong choice. It would have been interesting to see how MPs would have divided their votes between Clark & IDS had they been faced with the same choice that they gave the wider membership. I doubt it would have been as clear-cut as some retrospectively think.

And, had Clark been elected on what was an uncompromisingly pro-European ticket in 2001, what would have happened then?

The primary idea is well worth some further thought. How would it work in practice?

Would you confine the primary electorate to people who would be willing to register themselves as "conservative voters?".

Should the electorate be required to sign declarations that they are not members of any other politicial party?

Would the primary take place in one single vote, or would there be regional hustings and votes on different nights?

Would the winner be the candidate who got the most votes on the first round of voting, or would there have to be further rounds until a 50% winner emerged?

There are bound to be lots of other questions, but they must be engaged if the idea is to get any legs.

[James Hellyer]

Editor,

I think that if one candidate got 65% of the membership's vote that would send a powerful message to the MPs.

If they did pick the minority candidate in those circumstrances, firstly they would have to explain their decision to the membership, and secondly the new leader would surely be under incredible pressure to involve the loser's camp in his "big tent".

The danger with the current system is that members pick a leader whose authority the MPs won't respect. I think the constant sniping at IDS from his own side did more to undermine his credibility than anything else. Really the MPs created a self-fulfilling prophecy of failure.

The idea of a primary is interesting but I think it would be fraught with risk. Not only would it feature months of "dirty linen" being aired, as happens in the US presidential primaries, but it would also be open to abuse by patisan non-memebers if they were allowed to vote - i.e. Labour supporters backing the *worst* candidate. I think fear of this is one reason why many US states restrict primary voting rights to card carrying party members.

An electoral college sounds an even worse idea. It would doubtless be construced to give MPs the main say with the members vote being just a fig leaf to hide it's undemocratic nature. I fear it could end like the old Labouir system with the membersd powerless to stop the MPs' "bloc vote".

I think any such change would be contrary to Conservative principles. Reducingn the role of the membership would be the act of centralisers and anti-democratic. I don't like that in governments, so why should I like in it my politcal party?

[Editor]

I don't have worked-up answers to the very good questions that Simon raises in his post - two above. The starting point should be the rules used to govern the primaries that the Conservative Party used to elect candidates in constituencies like Warrington South during the last parliament.

A declaration that primary participants are not members of other political parties would be a good safeguard.

I think leadership candidates would have to perform in a mixed variety of seats - both Labour and LibDem target seats. At least one should be held in the West Midlands, at least one in NW England - two regions in which we underperformed at the last election.

The primary elections could be merely indicative rather than decisive. If indicative they could inform a members-or-MPs-only ballot as to different candidates' ability to reach non-Conservative voters. If decisive they could form part of an electoral college alongside MPs and members. The Americans run a series of primaries to choose their presidential nominees. Most states only allow party members to vote but a minority allow independents to vote.

Other views would be appreciated...

[Editor]

Mark Steyn in this week's Spectator offers a few thoughts on the leadership election process:

"I’ve remarked before on the Canadianisation of British politics. In Canada as in Britain, two of the three national parties are left of centre. So is the principal separatist party, in Quebec as in Scotland. And the token right-of-centre party spends much of its time either lecturing itself or being lectured by the media on its need to move towards the ‘political centre’ in order to make itself barely distinguishable from the other parties. Michael Heseltine was tilling this barren soil the other day, explaining to Radio Five Live’s Brian Hayes why the present method of electing the Tory leader needs to be changed: a lot of these activists were awfully hard-working people, nothing wrong with them and all that, but MPs were by definition better suited to understanding what it took to reach out to the ‘centre ground’ where British elections were won. What an inspiring message to the party’s base: leave it to us chaps to figure out which squishy unprincipled trimmer is best suited to selling you out."

[bbn]

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[bbn]

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