President-Elect Obama has just succeeded at the end of one of the most thrilling campaigns I can remember. Of course, being a Republican I am disappointed - but tonight's result proves to me, at least, what I argued in an earlier post - that fundamentals always apply.
After eight years of one-party rule in the White House, people want change. Al Gore could not get elected even with a popular President and a booming economy. McCain faced eight years, a tanking economy and an unpopular leader.
Extrapolating, that tells me that no matter if ComRes says our lead is eight points or YouGov says it's ten, Labour will founder badly at the next election and David Cameron will be Prime Minister. I'm sure he will work very well with President Obama. But I'm really looking forward to Sarah Palin's run in 2012!
