Among the more macabre online political bets that have been available for some time are spread bets on when America might attack Iran. Increasingly, foreign affairs commentators are suggesting than such an attack is more likely from Israel, whose interest in preventing Iran gaining nuclear weapons is even clearer. The Economist quotes John Bolton as he suggests one possible time-frame - November 2008 to January 2009:
"Israel may think the best time to attack would be during America’s presidential transition—too late to be accused of influencing the election and before needing a new president’s green light."
