"Forget all the conjecture about Hillary Clinton as a woman and Barrack Obama as black; when the voters start getting worried about their jobs, the value of their homes and the cost of borrowing, they lean towards a safe pair of hands. Competence wins over idealism, and that favours Hillary among the Democrats and Mitt Romney among the Republicans."
That's a key quotation from a must-read article by Adrian Hamilton in The Independent.
Hamilton also looks at the dilemma facing Gordon Brown:
"His biggest difficulty is to sound the right note on a slowing economy. His natural instinct is to downplay the problems, because of his past association with the policy. Yet to appear complacent in the face of a public feeling the pinch would be certain political death."
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