David Cameron’s speech led the main 10pm news tonight, as we would expect. The coverage though was shorter than last night, at just 5 minutes.
Those around the Leader will not be worried about the quantity of the coverage though, because the quality of the coverage was first class in their terms. Plenty of focus on the passages of the speech that the Leader’s team would have wanted covered – commitment to the NHS in particular. Cameron’s advisers will have been more than happy too with Nick Robinson’s commentary talking of the “new direction” for the party and creating a “new mood”. The BBC obviously likes David Cameron, but then we suspected that already.
A more uncertain note was sounded when political commentators were interviewed about how those at conference were reacting to this “new direction”. Anne McElvoy thought that activists had been won over. Benedict Brogan was less positive. Matthew Parris shrewdly hedged his bets and said he felt that conference liked David Cameron personally but was less enamored with his message.
It’s not surprising that the commentators came to different conclusions – partly this is due to David Cameron’s stance of refusing to be tied down to policies too early, but partly it is also due to cruder motives. None of us really know whether this conference has been a success until we see the first opinion polls in the weeks to come.
Those at the conference are in an isolated bubble where group think can set in and a rosy picture prevail, while those of us unable to attend this year have our view mediated through channels such as the BBC. The truth is, none of us know for certain what the wider reaction will be. Wise heads such as Matthew Parris hedge their bets. Meanwhile we eagerly await that crucial first opinion poll to pour over the movements in party fortunes like ancient soothsayers poured over the entrails of sacrificed animals.