UKIP at record high with Opinium. (But is their method a good one?)
Conservatives: 26% (- 1 from a fortnight ago)
Labour: 37% (No change)
Liberal Democrats: 6% (- 1)
UKIP: 21% (+ 1)
It's worth comparing the figures above with those of YouGov's daily tracker, which are:
Liberal Democrats: 10%
What's not in dispute, however, is the trend - so, for example, UKIP were at 17% with ComRes last weekend. As Anthony Wells has put it: "The correct approach is to look at the broad underlying trend and ignore the odd looking polls, the media normally do the opposite.
"The trend is that UKIP support has jumped substantially following their local election success, and that the Labour lead has been narrowing." Downing Street is hoping that better economic news pushes UKIP's figure down and trims Ed Miliband's lead back further.