Nick Webb: A Conservative countdown to Silk
Nick Webb was the Conservative candidate for Newport East in the 2011 Assembly elections and is now Deputy Chairman of Newport West Conservatives.
Localism, and tackling the cross-border challenge unites the Conservative response to the Silk Commission. The Commission, established in 2011, is in the final month of hearing evidence before preparing a report due for publication in Spring 2014.
Silk’s current remit is to look at the balance of powers between devolved Wales and the UK Government. In practice, this is almost certainly going to result in more powers being devolved to Cardiff Bay, although one recent opinion poll showed a notable minority in support of returning health and education policymaking to Westminster.
It would be wrong to claim that debate around “Silk” has engendered excited debate amongst the electorate, but it certainly has been a focus of the political class. The outcomes of the Commission are likely to be significant in shaping Wales’s future.
The Welsh Conservative Assembly Group finds itself with a very delicate balancing act. Much of the Party membership remains hostile to principle of Welsh devolution. However, electoral reality requires the group to be an acceptable coalition partner to Welsh nationalists and, more broadly, not to be fighting the battles of yesterday.
The Assembly Group has also acknowledged, albeit in tentative terms, that there is scope for devolution of “a significant element of financial accountability”. In comparison, David Davies, MP for Monmouth, cited the Welsh Government’s failure to maintain comparable standards with England in health, education and the economy. He warned that “granting powers to tax and borrow would simply increase the potential for Wales to be left at a disadvantage”. Meanwhile, David Melding, Assembly Member for South Wales Central, repeats his call to prepare for a fully federal UK.
The Assembly Group’s submission sensibly noted that their response was based on the tools at the disposal of the Welsh Government and was not a judgement on the performance of the incumbent administration. However, the institution of Welsh Government cannot properly come of age and be distinct from the Labour Party until a change of governing party occurs. One could therefore argue that those expressing concerns about the current state of Welsh Government decision-making are simply being pragmatic about how new powers will be used.
The Assembly Group’s submission tiptoes through a number of areas where there is division amongst members but also includes ideas such as a St David’s Day Bank Holiday and devolution of the Severn Bridge tolls, a matter which has cross-party support in Wales but is understandably less popular on the other side of the estuary.
There is unity on some matters. A desire for devolution to extend deeper than the Cardiff Bay bubble, so that it can empower local communities, is a feature of the responses of the Assembly Group, voluntary party and of Christopher Salmon, Dyfed Powys Police & Crime Commissioner. Likewise, the cross-border inconsistencies on health and transport, raised by Flintshire Councillor Matt Wright and David Davies MP are echoed in responses from the Conservatives in Cardiff Bay, as well as the Welsh Party Chairman.
Those opposed to further devolution were dealt a blow last month when the official opinion polling for the Silk Commission was published. Support for more powers was 53 per cent while a further 9 per cent wanted independence. Only 3 per cent opted for fewer powers and 9 per cent supported abolition - a significant fall on previous studies. The policy areas in which people were most keen to see powers transfer to Wales were renewable energy (non-renewable was not asked about), policing, and broadcasting. There was a narrow majority in support of devolving welfare and benefits but opposition to powers over criminal justice heading down the M4.
With public opinion polls showing far greater faith in the Senedd than Parliament and a desire for further devolution to the Assembly, it appears that Conservatives of all views will have to adapt to competing for votes in a Wales which will have seen further change.